The developing trough in the northern Tasman Sea is reaching maturity as we speak.
Primary tabs
Lots on the menu for this weekend. Southerly swells will provide slightly waves in Northern NSW, but we have a better east swell on tap anyway.
We’ve got another strong pulse expected to fill in tomorrow.
Very simple f/cast for our region this weekend so let’s not overthink it. Waves, waves and more waves on the Points with SE winds across the region.
TC Fili is expected to become slow moving as it becomes cradled by the peanut high, with a persistent fetch of E’ly winds supplying an extended run of swell from that direction
A depression just to the North-West of New Caledonia now has a high chance of forming a tropical cyclone (Fili) with this system expected to supply some pulses of swell from the NE to E quadrant as it tracks into the Coral Sea. A large cradling fetch of E to SE winds is also aimed at sub-tropical areas and should produce plenty of swell for the region this week.
The trough off the NSW Coast is expected to deepen and in conjunction with the large high moving at Tasmanian latitudes, create a large SE to E’ly fetch aimed at NENSW and SEQLD.
A trough of low pressure associated with the current sub-tropical low deepens rapidly through tomorrow in response to the influx of cold air, forming a storm force low pressure system off the NSW Central Coast overnight Thursday into Friday.
The northern end of the coastal trough system is expected to deepen into a surface low through tonight into tomorrow, off the SEQLD coast, moving south through Wednesday.
This expansive troughy pattern is likely to morph from day to day as weather models struggle to resolve the vorticity and local areas of low pressure within the trough line.