The weekend’s Tasman/Coral Sea ridge will be anchored across the Central Queensland coast by a coastal trough. This is expected to weaken early next week, and at the same time a new tropical depression is expected to form south of the Solomon Islands.
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Although Monday’s forecast for the second half of this week was hardly stellar, the outlook has downgraded a little across some regions, over the last few days.
Model data has the S’ly change into the Gold Coast just after midnight tonight, reaching the Sunshine Coast around dawn.
Throughout Wednesday and into Thursday we’ll also start to see a building E’ly swell from the top of a broadening Tasman high.
A broad fetch of easterly winds through the lower Coral Sea associated with a Tasman high and a small tropical depression are generating an easterly swell that’s expected to reach a peak on Thursday, before easing into Friday.
We’re looking at a slow increase in size over the coming days towards a plateau in and around very late Wednesday through Thursday.
Jeez, next week looks very exciting.
Plenty of decent windows of good conditions with a lully E'ly swell, initially reaching a peak around Sun but with more swell due through all of next week (I'm yet to see a definitive break in the pattern).
We’ll see steady surf from the east every day, so you’ll just have to work around the local winds.
From late Monday or Tuesday onwards, we will also start to see a building E/NE swell originating from a broadening E'ly fetch around the southern flank of TD04F (a tropical depression currently delivering a deluge to Fiji) which may be upgraded to a Category 1 Tropical Cyclone this evening.