We’ve got a stack of south swell on the way for Northern NSW. But, I don’t think the models are handling the outlook well, and are undercalling wave heights, as they are today. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Primary tabs
We have much more promising swell sources developing to the south, for Northern NSW anyway. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Now, the dominant feature for next week is an amplifying node of the Long Wave Trough across South-eastern Australia from Sunday evening onwards. More in the Forecaster Notes.
The parent low to this morning’s S’ly change was quite strong, and has produced solid 4ft+ surf across Southern NSW today. This swell will push across Northern NSW overnight and then begin to steadily ease back, so you’ll need to make the most of the early session for the most size. More in the Forecaster Notes.
The S’ly change will be the dominant feature on Wednesday, but it’s worth mentioning that we may see a small E’ly swell in the water across SE Qld, from a low that spun up just NE of New Zealand over the weekend. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Northerly winds will remain the dominant feature for the next four days. More in the Forecaster Notes.
This synoptic pattern ain’t a good look for anywhere local. More in the Forecaster Notes.
It’s a pretty depressing surf outlook if you consider just the winds on their own. SE Qld and Far Northern NSW are staring down the barrel (or lack thereof) of more than two weeks of northerly winds, thanks to an entrenched high pressure system in the Tasman Sea, and weak troughiness over Southern NSW. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Southerly swells are still strong across Southern NSW today, though gradually easing in size. As such there’s a half to almost one day lag for Northern NSW. More in the Forecaster Notes.
The N’ly windswell is easing rapidly and will be all but gone by Thursday, but we’ve got more southerly swell on the way for the rest of the week. More in the Forecaster Notes.