COVID-19 Health System Overload Forecaster

Craig's picture
Craig started the topic in Wednesday, 18 Mar 2020 at 7:44pm

I've created a spreadsheet forecast which I'll update as we go..

There's also a website with live running data.. https://sites.google.com/view/stayhomeaustralia

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Spuddups Wednesday, 2 Dec 2020 at 3:12pm

Fark, let's get this NZ-OZ travel bubble happening.

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Blowin Wednesday, 2 Dec 2020 at 3:19pm

I’d settle for a mid coast NSW / Nusa Tenggara travel bubble.

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truebluebasher Thursday, 3 Dec 2020 at 9:43pm

" Craig's Covid -19 Health System Overload Forecaster Theme Song."

Crew love tunes & salute Mark & Mike's Coronacode Music
Far out that's trippy for all the right reasons.
International Strange Music Day could never sound stranger as strange as that sounds.

Simply must share Mark's Alt Oz treat with the crew...{ Enjoy yer Trip }
LP Version [8:16] ( Get infected by this one! ) One of Us One of Us One of Us.

Stranger Tip : Mad Professor Mark stands out in the Vidz!

So reckon they've spiked a new wave tribute in there...crew will hear it also! Epic!
Someone's gonna pick that uber cool tribute that kicks in at [5:15-7:40]
Try a Single Dose [3:04]

DNA sequence
https://www.natureindex.com/news-blog/coronavirus-pandemic-sequence-make...

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velocityjohnno Sunday, 6 Dec 2020 at 11:17am

Coming up next on Australian Border Force:

https://www.smh.com.au/national/authorities-investigate-whether-german-t...

And in Sport, Germany got 2 through past the Australian defenders, but the Vic goalkeeper saved the shots on goal.

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Vic Local Sunday, 6 Dec 2020 at 9:31pm

I'm seeing a few stories on social media about a team of American construction workers flying in to Canberra to work on the US embassy without any quarantine, and the boys strolling around the suburbs without a care in the world. If they are true, that's fucking ridiculous and heads should roll at Border Force.

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Rabbits68 Sunday, 6 Dec 2020 at 10:57pm

“And in Sport, Germany got 2 through past the Australian defenders, but the Vic goalkeeper saved the shots on goal.”

Very lucky they didn’t test positive. But you need a bit of luck in sport and in life in general.....

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shoredump Monday, 7 Dec 2020 at 8:22am

Terrible midfield defence there by NSW. They’re looking very tired after that gruelling game against the Bushfires. Looks like their star player, Buddy Vaccine is up off the bench and doing some stretching, they’ll be hoping he can turn this game around

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san Guine Monday, 7 Dec 2020 at 8:59am

Buddy Vaccine is an untested player at the top level, how will he perform under pressure?

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saltyone Monday, 7 Dec 2020 at 9:09pm
truebluebasher's picture
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truebluebasher Saturday, 12 Dec 2020 at 5:55pm

Oz Vax (Part 1)
AstraZeneca AZDI222 (Doses 33.8m > 53.8m) ($4 / shot)
Is a Old World Chimeric Chimp Liver (Spike) with that manky Flu Vax.
Oz Flu Vax = HEK 293 is aborted Fetus + Chimeric Chimp Liver Juice chaser.
Old World Chimeric Monkey liver also spikes Oz Lab Covid + Remdesivir anti viral.
Respected Scientists claim similar spiked Covid in WIV + Oz base mix for o/s Vaxes.
https://theconversation.com/the-oxford-astrazeneca-vaccine-is-the-first-...

This being the same as Oz Vax Trials to be produced by CSL Geelong.

Aug - (Phase 2) 3 suffer Serious Neurological illness (1 Transverse Myelitis) Detail?
8th Sept - (Phase 3) Side effects (Fever / Fatigue / Chills / Headache)
This being the first Phase 3 Trial put on Hold > resume 13th Sept.

1st Oct (India) 40yr man suffers Neurological & Psychological side effects.
Patient is suing for $676,000 & called for halt to Vaccine.
Astra Zeneca is counter suing for $13.5m (Not heard more > Pay out?)
https://fortune.com/2020/11/30/astrazeneca-covid-vaccine-oxford-trial-in...
15th Oct Brazil 28yr Doctor on the Placebo dies from Covid.

23rd Oct (Phase 3 - On Hold in US by Company ) $1.2b - 300m doses on order
re:
25 Nov - Accidental Lower Dose & Age Boycott loses confidence in data.
Dr: "2 studies for different doses of odd composite...many have trouble with that!"
Oxford Lab : "It's a bit hit & miss when you're trying to go quickly & get it perfect."

Test Results...up to 70% - 90% (2 doses) effective (Least cost & easiest to Store)
This vax is best for far regions & rural communities + low cost health care.
23 April - 4th Nov (23,848 x 2 doses)
74,341 person months of safety follow up (eg:) Patient care appointments.
175 serious reactions in 168 patients + 10 cases hospitalised for Covid (2 severe).
4 died ...one test related (re: above Dr.) + Fungal Pneumonia Death (No report?)
Reactions
UK / Brazil :Fever 37.8*, Cough , Shortness of Breath, Anosmia or Ageusia.
SA : Myalgia, Fatigue, Chills, Nausea, Vomiting, Loss of appetite, Sore Throat, Headache, Nasal Congestion, Diarrhoea, Runny Nose.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)32661-1/fulltext
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)32661-1/fulltext

Only 4% over 70yrs represented in Tests ...(Regulator is monitoring this Group)
55 year old & over results are not in either...(caught short in the dose Mishap)
This seems to be holding up the Trials....approvals.

World Pollies want further checks on elderly & dose sizes to be sorted out!
Phase 3 is being reexamined or repeated until it's ironed out!
Vax is cautious with Xmas UK release
However, an early New Year approval for Oz / US won't be a walk in the park.
Both Oz & US are paying big money & have the best Labs to test faulty Vax!
You don't wanna try to fool the best in the game...UK know they gotta step up!

11th Dec - AZD1222 (China / Japan Trials) + Sputnik V as a Dual Dose

11th Dec - CSL Update (AZD1222) 33.8m > 53.8m Doses
https://www.csl.com/news/2020/covid-19-update

AZD1222 requires 2 doses 1 month apart.

There was uncertainty over dose sizes & also for seniors.
Universal low cost application for all weather age & region is a huge advantage.
Reckon it could be well worth the wait for decent test results.

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truebluebasher Saturday, 12 Dec 2020 at 12:42pm

OZ Vax 2
UQ-CSL V451 > $1b (Doses) 51m (Cancelled)
HIV Clamp with MF59 Shark Liver Oil (Qld is only one of 5 / 176 Vaxes using it)
https://www.forbes.com/sites/melissacristinamarquez/2020/10/12/are-shark...
Qldurrz salute Little Lisa's Shark Netted Donor.

24 Jan 2020 - Qld Uni
https://www.uq.edu.au/news/article/2020/02/significant-step%E2%80%99-cov...
9th April UQ partner Dutch Viroclinics Xplore
29th April - Initial Testing works as planned
5th June - CEPI partner UQ - Fast Track Development > Manufacture > Distribution.
13 July - Phase 1 Trial 120 aged 18-55 + Healthy 56+ (2 doses (vs) Placebo)
Partners - CSL / Bne- Patheon / Cytiva (GE)
https://www.csiro.au/en/News/News-releases/2020/Dosing-begins-in-first-h...
26th Aug - Dutch (Animal) Studies give all clear
27th Aug - Call up for Phase 2(a) Volunteers.
7th Sept - CSL / Heads of Govt lock in 51m doses
8th Nov - CSL Broadmeadows manufactured batches for Phase 2(b) / 3 Trials.
13th Nov - Health MP Hunt.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-11-13/coronavirus-queensland-vaccine-co...
10th Dec - Fed Govt pulls the Vaccine >
'Perceived stigma' over aborted fetus, evil twin monkey, netted shark liver or HIV ?
Aids Screening could be upgraded to avoid false readings...it was a bridge too far!
It is said the HIV Clamp was by far the best choice of other still effective clamps.
$25m Total Spend...$10m Qld + $10m Private + $5m Fed Govt.
No one is saying it was a waste of Time & Money + Phase 1 Tests are ongoing.
https://www.precisionvaccinations.com/vaccines/uq-csl-v451-vaccine

Pauline says we Qldurrz shouldn't have to apologize for netting Gay Sharks.

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truebluebasher Saturday, 12 Dec 2020 at 5:52pm

OZ Vax 3
Novavax NVX-CoV2373 (Doses 40m > 51m) $21.23 / shot
Uses Fruit Fly cell spike protein with the Flu Shot (HEK293 Aborted Fetus)

Aug -Phase 1 Trial Mbne / Bne 131
Phase 1 Reactions (This seems minor but is also quite a lot)
80% had pain & tenderness at jab site (Thicker Dose might need a thicker needle)
Might have trouble with the frail & kids with that level of jab pain?
Could be the odd doses > 5mg /25mg...Company said they'll lower the 2nd shot?
60%+ Headaches / Muscle Pain / Fatigue.
8 were severe for a few days (No Hospital / Non Life Threatening)
Article retracted Hospital link? Possible outpatient care > avoiding [+] Care- (Suss?)
https://www.smh.com.au/national/promising-antibody-response-in-australia...

Phase 2 - Oz / US (Mixed sites) 690 > Phase 3 see UK...

4th Nov - Australian Govt Contract.
Oz doses will be brewed in Czech Republic > 2 doses -21 days apart
Ready first quarter 2021...also fine with standard fridge access.

25th Sep UK 15,000 - Phase 3 > 30th Nov Finish + SA (2b) Trial 4,422

US/Mexico Stage 3 Trials are further delayed until mid Dec (US may rely on UK study)
Company has secured equal US production assets for supplies...Not an issue!

velocityjohnno's picture
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velocityjohnno Saturday, 12 Dec 2020 at 6:51pm

Keep this up TBB
Good stuff

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udo Saturday, 12 Dec 2020 at 6:57pm
truebluebasher's picture
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truebluebasher Tuesday, 15 Dec 2020 at 12:53am

Cheers crew...can do a few more to get us a half decent shot.

Oz Vax 4
Pfizer / BioNTech (10m doses) stored at -70* (95% effective)
$26 dose x 2 (3wks apart ) Made in Belgium / Germany
Freezer reflects the DNA building blocks as to animal protein Vaccines.
mRNA code of Covid spike in amino protein within a lipid fat bubble
The hidden Gremlin in the process..."PEG Polyethylene Glycol" (See Side effects)
This vaccine eliminates animal protein + Prides Human=Animal Testing.
Showing a clear intent to not exploit animals on every level for unneeded reason.
https://www.peta.org/media/news-releases/peta-statement-pfizer-vaccine-d...

Reason for Govt buying 'small dose' sizes of this -70* vaccine.
Wins over Animal Rights + Small dose option for Kids & Elderly.
Govt claim price is returned by culturing more doses.
Oz wishes to learn & build on this Techno Goop for other Vaxes.
This would take a 12 month overhaul of OZ Labs. (Worth it for Oz Own flexi brew!)
This is cutting edge science & Oz Govt welcome this vaccine & will replicate it.

So it sounds too good to be true! Well maybe.
However! Truckers & Regional Towns + Small practices can't do -70* (Need Dry ice)
Vaccine can go 5 days in a fridge then back in reusable DNA Pizza Box > vid [1:13]
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-12-10/uk-regulator-investigating-reacti...

9th Nov - UK release (See vid & side effects)
Side effects. (Warning! People with severe allergies warned off Pfizer Vaccine.)
6 died but Company argued away all deaths from vax but others disagree.(Heart?)
Dose 2- Fatigue 60% severe 3.8% / Headache 2% / Fever 13% Severe 40.5* 0.8%
Chills / Muscle Aches / Joint Pain
0.6% Allergic reaction (Pfizer concede this is likely PEG) & This is high for a control.
1.5 / 1m "Flu Vaccines" have Anaphylactic Shock (vs) 1/1000 for open everything
V Day UK - 2 / 100,000 Pfizer Vaccines have Anaphylactic Shock > > [WARNING]

US Trial revealed 1% had similar reactions (Again...a controlled group > not public)
Poland 4 developed Bells Palsy or temp' weakness & stiffness of Facial Muscles.
tbb : "Could be as simple as Cracked Lips or Nasal Piercing that triggers reaction."

PEG is the main ingredient in lotions to tooth gel to laxatives.
Most of us swallow it or rub it on without a big deal.

But if your skin is broken or infected it can trigger a toxic reaction.
Ulcers & Chix toxic shock if you recall is linked to PEG.
You do not want this near any painful inner bits...or you will get a nasty reaction!
Want a reaction - Try rubbing neutral hand lotion near yer eye or into a paper cut!

https://davidsuzuki.org/queen-of-green/dirty-dozen-peg-compounds-contami...
Company knows what the problem is but as our past shows, they will hide it.
All are blinded by science as they bury this common known shocking truth.
Pfizer should warn people of PEG shock reaction as they do know it's very real.

PS: Major pain & Swelling in the Shot arm is very common across covid vaccines.
This has been hidden in most stats but many participants wish to share their pain.

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truebluebasher Sunday, 13 Dec 2020 at 9:11pm

OZ Vax 5
Covax-19 by Vaxine @ Flinders Uni (2 doses-3 wks apart) (Cost n/a)
Based off Petrovsky's own 2016 Sars recombinant Spike Protein
(Non Virus based) manufactured inside Insect cells + Synthetic Sugar Plant
https://www.brookes.ac.uk/about-brookes/news/funding-received-for-new-co...
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/27076136/
Jan Begins. (Politics)
29 Jan -Vic 'Doherty's covid' > (Monkey kidneys) + Wet Market (Has No Bats?)
1st March -Aust Biology "Study shows C-19 cases circulating before Markets"
3rd April - PM / WHO / GOF labs still peddle Market origin lie (Nope - Sorry!)
17th April -Petrovsky claims Covid is genetically engineered...(alt Labs agree!)
(And with that claim Petrovsky almost blew his chance of any Govt funding!)
https://www.theweek.in/news/world/2020/05/19/novel-coronavirus-is-human-...
11 June - Irish APC team up.
https://vaxine.net/pharma-research-firm-apc-partners-to-develop-covid-19...
16 June -US Georgia Uni complete ferret studies
https://vaxine.net/vaxine-and-university-of-georgia-complete-first-stage...
25th June - Russian Uni Partner
https://vaxine.net/vaxine-pty-ltd-announces-covid-19-vaccine-collaborati...
2nd July - First Trial of 40 begins (No Side Effects) > Past Proven Vax base.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-07-02/coronavirus-vaccine-trials-to-beg...
2nd July Phase 2 Trials 400-500 volunteers


3rd July -Vic Sypharma partner with SA Vaxine.
https://vaxine.net/2020/07/
https://www1.racgp.org.au/newsgp/clinical/vaccine-search-australian-stud...
Trial Offer extends to Vic Age care
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-08-01/sa-potential-coronavirus-vaccine-...
Vaxine says no money from Feds force Phase 2 to India.
https://9now.nine.com.au/a-current-affair/coronavirus-australian-vaccine...
2nd Sept Federal Govt $1m for Vaxine Covax-19
https://blogs.flinders.edu.au/fit/2020/09/03/1m-for-covax-19-vaccine-work/
Oct -Phase 2 Trials begin in Flinders Uni SA not Pakistan.
Dec- Vaxine believe they were entitled to Qld / OZ funds given to o/s Vaccines
Phase 3 Trials Early next year

https://vaxine.net/covid-19/

Sickaz's picture
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Sickaz Monday, 14 Dec 2020 at 11:10pm

Anyone know if it’s true or not that the Pfizer vax’ is the first ever mRNA vaccine?

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truebluebasher Tuesday, 15 Dec 2020 at 2:12am

Sickaz is right...it is the first to be regulated but via "Emergency Authorisation"
With ongoing testing & perhaps with cautious supervision.
German partner BioNTech is in no hurry to release it, but Germany is!
Recall UK Day one ended in Vax Alergy Warning...pretty quickly.
Norman Swan & other Labs say PEG sets off the reaction > (Oz Vax 4)

UK say the -70* Temp Range needs military like planing to avoid waste.
UK Vax is cautiously moving from Hospital to GP's then Age Care
Nursing Homes are freaking out it will kill them, now echoing worldwide.
Update is that after weeding out the allergic...a few suffer side effects.
Common reaction is Mild Fever, Muscle Pain & Swelling aching stiff arm at Jab site.
This happened in the tests as well ...2 days off work & a rest sorts it.

Series Cont...
OZ Vax 6
WHO Covax (Various Co Op Nations mixed Manufacture / Surplus)
https://www.gavi.org/gavi-covax-amc
Covax is not be confused with ( SA Covax 19 Vaxine)
Oz Govt $123.2m for 25m doses or 50% of Oz.
Oz chips in $80m for 94 low income Nations to access Co Op Vax

All above Oz Vaccines are listed here on Oz Govt site. (Including Covax candidates)
Noting some Oz labs partner with candidates.
https://www.health.gov.au/australias-vaccine-agreements#other-agreements

Recap : tbb has gone to great lengths to share the origin of each vax (Not Easy!)
Thankfully had a win on Price Checking via US / 100m dose deals. (Easy!)
Oz Govt price comparison n/a ( US chart affords us to compare Oz standard price!)
https://www.healthline.com/health-news/how-much-will-it-cost-to-get-a-co...
Comparing $US Cost / 100m dose (All vaxes need 2 x dose price)
$ AUD = $ US
$25.78 = $19.50 Dose = $1.95b /100m - Pfizer / BioNTech (OZ 10m)
$21.15 = $16.00 Dose = $1.6b / 100m - Novavax (OZ 51m)
$19.83 = $15.00 Dose = $1.5b / 100m - Moderna
$13.22 = $10.00 Dose = $1b /100m - Johnson & Johnson
$ 5.29 = $ 4.00 Dose = $400m / 100m AstraZenaca (OZ 53.8m)

Oz Average Vax pricing / dose
$20.05 Dose = $1.7b / 84.8m (Phase 1)
$23.88 Dose = $3.2b / 134m (Phase 2) > 137.4m > 139.9m (current Govt Tally)
Note: It certainly seems like Oz are factoring in neighbouring Pacific Nations

Exclusive vax series is dedicated to Covid -19 Health System Overload Forecaster.
This marks the next series intro.

World Vaccine Table displays % coverage of each Nation.
(Important) WHO > Temp wastes 50% of vaccines = Pfizer > (-70d < WTF > 40d)
Also note most wasteful Pfizer Vax is most experimental > laboured > expensive.
Naturally all nations should aim for Double Pop' vax as minimum for 100% cover.
Australia tally is higher affording WHO South Pacific stockpile (n/a in Chart?)
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-12-09/which-countries-have-...

Top 3 are well covered for 50% waste > 1 Canada 410% / 2 UK 295% / 3 OZ 269%
All other listed Nations fail to Cover the WHO 50% waste minimum target range.
The 2 least covered Nations will blow your minds...not joking
32) US 139% = (Warped) low amount to mop up #1 covid Nation.
Signals exclusive access to US Vaccine (VIP) vs [ BLM ] Not a healthy sign!
33) Japan 120% = Not enough Vaccine for Japanese ...none for Olympic Games.
There is no way Japan can host Olympics without enough vax for themselves.
Athletes would boycott the world's only non-vaccinated Host Nation..It's not on!
Zero vaccine for Officials / Athletes / Spectators? (Table spells end of Olympics)
Crew know that Japan need to be Top 3 to Host Olympic Games (4 > 33 is a fail)

Oz media are still a 1,000 miles away so crew will continue exclusive covid series.
Thankfully a few investigators have shone enough light for a search party...let's go!
tbb has had a sneak peak & it's not all gloom, there is 'some' forward planning. Huh!

Crew have Ingredient lists / Test results / Peta approved / Pricecheck / Availability
Vaccine Series will continue with massive Jab logistics & boycotts of vaccines.
This report shows US & Japan low vaxes will ramp a more confronting Covid Crisis?

Vax Song : We're all Lab Rats together! ...We're all Lab Rats together!
Maybe a decent spike of God Fodder from the Neds is all we ever needed.
Ned's Atomic Dustbin ~ "Grey Cell Green"...

Sickaz's picture
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Sickaz Wednesday, 16 Dec 2020 at 2:47am

Tbb the research engine, thanks again for your good work.

As you mentioned, I have heard concerns expressed from expert peoples that the side effects with people prone to allergies and/or with auto immune diseases are perhaps the most worrying unknowns about this vaccine and mRNA vaccines in general.

Because of the way mRNA vaccines work (this is my amateur understanding definitely not an expert), put simply - they do not contain the pathogen within them unlike most vaccines, some experts are concerned about the POSSIBLE longer term changes that the immune system COULD make as a result of this somewhat oblique immune reaction (and successful against COVID apparently) that the vaccine initiates.

The fact that the pathogen is not required to make the vaccine makes production both safer and far more suited to rapid and mass production. It must be kept very cold to remain effective which will make it more challenging to deploy en mass.

As with anything there are pros and cons. In my opinion and limited understanding, the unknown possibilities regarding mid/long term adverse immune/health reactions, are the major cons. No amount of lab testing on animals that live shorter lives than humans can prove conclusively that long term adverse effects won’t happen in humans. Obviously the circumstances in the short term are dire AF so these unknowns are going to be gambled with.

The major pro is the new rMNA technology, if successful, will be the weapon to put paid to the COVID epidemic, a major leap forward in vaccine development and a powerful weapon against future epidemics.

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truebluebasher Tuesday, 15 Dec 2020 at 8:43pm

Brilliant stuff sickaz...it is important that we have a choice and/or a say in vaccines.
That's very good advice & most helpful as rMNA is the only Peta approved vax.
It's also the most challenging & costly to deliver efficiently on every level.

eg: Pfizer vax is incomplete...it mixes with 1.8ml of 0.9% local Sodium Chloride
Sickaz was just upgraded to VIP hot off the press Holy Grail Doc.
14 Dec : Last minute Pfizer - BioNTech (key hot doc).
https://www.idsociety.org/covid-19-real-time-learning-network/vaccines/P....
Mix too little costs time (< Goldilocks >) mix too much and it's a major cost loss.
UK are resourceful & have a plan for that...not perfect but clever enough! (Later)

Yes! Research options are being walled up fast, so the sooner we surf the better.

We'll get another look at how Nations will deal with logistics in this next series.
Vaccine acceptance / Immunity + Mass Roll-out logistics & incentives.
The sooner we out the nature of these beasties the better shot OZ has!

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truebluebasher Wednesday, 16 Dec 2020 at 3:23am

Covid Vaccination %

Australia is the only country extorting welfare / schooling off immunization.
Ironically Australia is one of only 7 countries who now feel less safe about vaxes.

This is vital to unlocking the Low Covid uptake & fear of Govt pressure is real.
US Covid cases bottom with Yes Vote to 50% & No vote soars to 50% vax support .
As cases peak the Yes vote soars to 66% (vs) No vax support plummets to 34%
This massive 32% conflict zone was exploited by politics / wealth / education.
Poor less schooled are 2x less likely to vax > Dem 49% (vs) Ind 42% (vs) Rep 28%
US % Against Vax at Work / Boss / School > Dem 45% (vs) Ind 63% (vs) Rep 72%
The world saw this play out but had little time to notice the elephant in the room.
One could rightly argue that US 2020 election is a very real oppressive Class War.

World Flu vaccines Skyrocketed from 1993 >2015 (Plateau at 72%)
Equally all other Vaxes have Skyrocketed then Plateau at 70%-80%.
Most interesting is the more recent the vax the lower the Plateau less than 70%.
Nature has decided to gift Covid Vaccine immunity into the lap of the Gods.

20 years is the fastest time ever for a vax to reach base level 70% herd immunity.
If 70% take a Covid Vax, it requires 5x more resource for 2025 World immunity
[Factcheck] Covid vax 2021 > 18% of World's Population (tbb was close enough!)

Experimental fleet of arduous vaxes with a host of new side effects to treat.
Currently 14% of worlds wealthiest populations horde 53% of all Covid vaccines
Crew can add up...max 4% vax for 3rd world elites to fight over in 2021...(poor?)

WHO : " 50% of Vaccines get wasted! " > some new vaxes are -70 degrees store.
70% vax + 1/2 = 105% vax supply x 2 doses = 210% vax supply / Nation.
Below left column will carry each Nation's vax Supply ( 210% = base Immunity )

Countries are loosely rated by recent commitment, confidence, trust in vaccines.
tbb has cross referenced much data reflecting a more open neutral 'vax guide'
Covid Vax matches people to Govt commitment for a dose of reality.
Note: EU Block runs a similar (174% doses ) apart from larger Nations...
Other Asian /African / South American Nations have less vax access.
.............................................................................................................................................
-vax% -Nation- people will vax now% / in 3 mths% / a year on% / Notes.
.............................................................................................................................................
- Mexico-38% / 71% / 85% (Trying to brew their own + Big Pharm)
(Own)-India-29% / 54% / 82% (Making own vax)
-Brazil- 41% / 68% / 82% -Guinea Pigs + Own vax issues ( 50% Refuse China vax)
410%- Canada-23% / 54% / 82% (own vax) > Outed as White Trash hoarders.
(Own)-China-21% / 68% / 90% + (Huge Vax mid east exports next year)
174 %-Germany-23% / 47% / 66% +(Export vax) + (School vax) Not big vax fans!
294%-UK-22% / 47% / 66% + (Greedy but World's covid Guinea Pigs)+ Home brew
269%-Australia-28% / 57% / 76% (Own Vax ) Extort welfare-School Vax-(No 8%)
(own)-Russia-13% / 31% / 54.4% > (Own Vax has issues)
174%-Finland-(Don't trust vax)
-South Africa-21% / 42% / 61%
-Papua New Guinea-(61% kidz) Don't trust vax
-South Korea- 12% / 59% / 86% ? (Not vax fans)
20.3%-NZ-(That's pretty low supply)
- Italy-24% / 53% / 74% (Just not keen on vax)
139%-US-16% / 40% / 63% (School vax) (Export vax) Political Poor No vax
- Spain-13% / 38% / 60% (Just not keen on vaxes)
-174%- France 13% / 38% / 54% (School vax -No 10%) Huge No vax!
-120%-Japan 14% / 43% / 62% (School vax - No 7% ) Low vax- No Olympics!
- Latvia-(Say vaxes are useless)
- Ukraine-(50% Kidz) World's #1 anti vaxxerz

vax supply % commitment = Hard to see 1 nation being immune by end of 2021.
Most Emergency Covid Vaxes have a 2 month supervisory small print.

World committed uptake to Covid Vaccine = 46.8% > 41% (70% = Immunity)
Those who may consider a Covid Vaccine = 24.7% (Combined = Immunity)
Don't Care =14.2%
No Thanx = 6.1%
Never Ever = 8.1%
People felt their own Govt should provide a vax = 51% (Russia 82% say no import)
Worried about Side Effects = 54%
Those who believe it will protect them = 40%
Those who believe it will stop the spread = 40%

Blowin's picture
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Blowin Wednesday, 16 Dec 2020 at 3:15pm

You fcking what ?

https://t.co/L3ziuWqI1f

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Pops Wednesday, 16 Dec 2020 at 8:59pm

Important info for anyone who's been around the Avalon area over the past few days:

https://www.health.nsw.gov.au/news/Pages/20201216_04.aspx

truebluebasher's picture
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truebluebasher Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 1:19am

Covid Vaccination Priority
UK / US have self regulations (vs) EU (27) Lazy Covid Nations Agreement.
Hence the Priority of UK (Test Nation 1st) > US (Emergency next).

BBC reboot oldschool worldly insight into Vax Roll out...presents as a rare gem!
https://www.bbc.com/news/av/health-55181629

{ IMPORTANT } Once Public Health Emergency is over the Vaccine is no longer free.
All Worldwide vax plans slowly build to bill the vast majority in back half of 2021

Citizens are furious at lack of info & clarity on Covid Vaccine Tiers.
Govt's look set to override Health Tiers to recoup vax cost.
1st up Elderly are most confused & hesitant + require distant family approvals.
This could be to slow the roll out until Health Emergency is over then Ramp cost.
Chemists are partnering all Nations to roll out Covid Vax.
.................................................................................................................................................................
*UK Aged Tiers (Note: There is no Vax provided for Under 50 y/o)
https://www.bbc.com/news/av/health-55153322
T1-Aged Care +Carers
T2-Frontline + Care Staff + Seniors 80+ Severe Health
T3-75 > T4-70 > T5-65
T6-At Risk Patients 6-64
.............Envisaged Covid Emergency End timeline (Pay/vax from here)....................
T7-60 > T8- 55 > T9-50
T10 -U50's > kids will not be given a Vaccine - (Note UK #2 with 294% Vax?)
UK 73% consider a Chem vax / 8% no chem / 19% no vax.
Post emergency UK Govt claws back "flu cost" of Under 60 vax to reach immunity
.................................................................................................................................................................
*US Feb/March 60% Chemists free shots (Post Covid Emergency flu shot costing!)
US CDC 'Pandemic' Tier.......................................US CDC 'Covid Vaccine' Tier (Draft)
T1- 1st Responders / Pregnant / Infants.........T1- 1st Response / Risk-Aged-Clusters
T2- Security / Communications / Risk Kids.....T2- Care Staff / Risk / Hostels / Prisons
T3- Active Duty / Kids...........................................T3- Active Duty / Teens / Kids
T4- Seniors / Risk Adults......................................T4- Adults
T5- 19-64 Adults....................................................T5- n/a
https://i.insider.com/5f75febd74fe5b0018a8e7f8?width=600&format=jpeg&aut...
Each State rolls out their own Tier & insist Prisoners won't be high on their list?

US 'Public Poll' of recommended Vaccine Tiers
91% [+] / 87% Ambos / 84% Critical / 83% Aged / 64% Teachers / 56% Army....
48% Students / 44% Public > Pollies > (Athletes were deemed Low priority)
.................................................................................................................................................................
*Canada is rolling out Vax in December but only has a makeshift Tier 1
Quite astonishing that a Nation with 410% vaccine has no plan on eve of roll out?
11,000 Chemists are getting ready to vax....
https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/11-000-neighbourhood-pharmacies-re...
.................................................................................................................................................................
*Australia is alone so far with their Pay to Jump the Queue options.(Chemists?)
Aust Pharmacy Journal-34% Pharmacists not comfortable receiving a Covid Vax!
Scomo lied about Pfizer 10m March deal > Pfizer supply deal is for end of 2021)
Pfizer have also recently cut supply by half due to raw material shortage.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/prisoners-and-the-obese-priority-grou...

OZ (12) Aged Tiers (Draft) (Govt ignored 2019 Public Juries > recent consult calls)
Official Govt Covid Tier is released end of Jan 2021...roll out in end of March...
T1/70+ Age Care (240k) / Frontline (800k)/ At Risk + Indigenous
Note: Lost o/s relatives sign off / interpreters / Outback (-70d < > 50d) Vax spoil.
T2/65+ (3.8m) / Prisons / Detention / Obese / Diabetics
............................................................................................................................................................
T3/60+ T4/55+ T5/50+ (Emergency / Tax year end > spells the end for a free vax).
These age groups may need insurance / health card or pay for "Flu Shot" Costing!
Govt Vax Pharmacy Sell Out > sold GP's some Chill Pills for their side effects.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/turf-war-pharmacists-will-del...
Both UK + Govt are again selling us the Qantas pop up Lab Vax partners App.
T6/45+ T7/40+ T8/35+ T9/30+ T10/25+
T11/18+ (Govt clip wings off T11's...& lets them fly during 2022)
(2022) T12/U18 (Can include in school year immunisation if needed.)

Free Vax until end of 5 eyes Health Emergency, then a mild bill shock for flu shot.
However! Govts have allowed Airlines & Venues to extort a partner Vax service.
Caution! Vax may be free but a 3rd Party is entitled to charge you a Million bucks.

18 Nov report peers thru the window at Vax Queue Jumping...another rare gem.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/nov/18/we-will-all-suffe...
Covid Drug dealer can't push drugs, can only say how stoned you'll get.Maybe!
Private Buyer denies many more urgent pleas for their selfish drug stash.
You may not get the vax that best suits you at the time. (Take what you get!)
Buyer beware, supply must be guaranteed for 2nd booster shot or you're wasted!
Scomo's dealers pimpin' Mixed bag Dirty Shots to untraceable super spreaders.

Scomo is the only rat on Earth cutting a deal with Mobster queue jumperz.
Dutto: Financial Exploitation of a Pandemic is a Major International Fraud Crime!

Sat 26th Sept 2020...(Listen to the finest speech our PM ever gave to the world!)
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-09-26/scott-morrison-urges-sharing-covi...
PM speaks on behalf of Australians when addressing the United Nations...
"When it comes to a vaccine, Australia's view is very clear. Whoever finds the vaccine must share it. This is a global responsibility, and it's a moral responsibility for a vaccine to be shared far and wide. Some might see short term advantage or even profit, but I assure you, to anyone who may think along those lines, humanity will have a very long memory, and be a very, very severe judge. Australia's pledge is clear. If we find the vaccine we will share it. That's the pledge we all must make.

Scomo then casually flicks open the Hillsong trapdoor and descends into the bowels of Hell. Almighty demonstration of Scomo's demonic powers that scares the shit outta the devil himself.

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JamesBrown89 Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 2:00am

What exactly is the point of getting vaccinated if it doesn’t free us from the COVID restrictions?

The more you hear the people talk the clearer it becomes that control is game

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JQ Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 5:52am

As I'm sure you're well aware James, if you keep your foil hat firmly attached, they can't control you.

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Vic Local Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 7:30am

Also James, if you wear a mask, they can't lip read your private conversations.

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Blowin Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 8:17am

James ignore those two . They’re anti science if the experts don’t agree with their OPINIONS.

Listen to the experts instead .. And Here’s the bio of the guy who’s making the claim. http://www.healthdata.org/about/vin-gupta)

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Pops Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 10:06am

"Just because you get vaccinated after the second dose does not mean you should be … traveling … or that you’re liberated from masks."
(text from link from Blowin's earlier post)

My guess as to what that's all about: from what I've read, the pfizer vaccine does not necessarily prevent you from contracting the disease nor from passing it on. What it does do is prevent you from getting seriously ill from it (basically, it preps your immune system to fight it off more effectively). So continuing to wear a mask and refraining from travel would be about protecting people who haven't yet had a chance to get vaccinated - you could get the disease and be fine, but pass it on to an unvaccinated person and they get seriously ill. I'd imagine that advice would change once a sufficient number of people have been vaccinated.

PS echoing my post from last night: people from Avalon (or who have been to av recently) should check the list of venues on that link and get tested if they've been to any of them (or if they get symptoms).

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Supafreak Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 10:17am

I watched a you tube video in which a leading Dr. in the US pleads with the government to review the latest data on ivermectin for covid 19 treatment. If you’re interested look up “ I can’t keep doing this Dr. Pierre Kory . Craig Kelly the member for Huges N.S.W has also released a video asking for Australia to reverse its decision on the use of ivermectin, a drug which has been around for 40 years and costs $2 and been safely used on millions of people worldwide. It won a Nobel prize in 2015. Some politicians in US criticised Dr. Kory for being political ? In fact in other videos he states he is a life long democrat. Australia msm seems to be largely ignoring this even though it’s claimed besides treating covid it stops transmission also which they still can’t say for sure a vaccine will do , hence masks and social distancing will remain even after vaccination. If you research ivermectin make sure you look at current data not what was written in April or August. When I read through some of the comments from patients and doctors on the results of ivermectin it makes it hard to understand wtf is going on.

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Supafreak Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 10:25am

I watched a you tube video in which a leading Dr. in the US pleads with the government to review the latest data on ivermectin for covid 19 treatment. If you’re interested look up “ I can’t keep doing this Dr. Pierre Kory . Craig Kelly the member for Huges N.S.W has also released a video asking for Australia to reverse its decision on the use of ivermectin, a drug which has been around for 40 years and costs $2 and been safely used on millions of people worldwide. It won a Nobel prize in 2015. Some politicians in US criticised Dr. Kory for being political ? In fact in other videos he states he is a life long democrat. Australia msm seems to be largely ignoring this even though it’s claimed besides treating covid it stops transmission also which they still can’t say for sure a vaccine will do , hence masks and social distancing will remain even after vaccination. If you research ivermectin make sure you look at current data not what was written in April or August. When I read through some of the comments from patients and doctors on the results of ivermectin it makes it hard to understand wtf is going on.

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Supafreak Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 10:27am

I had a parasite in my intestine which was quite painful in Bali in 2006 , went to BIMC and they prescribed me ivermectin, 2 days later pain free .

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Vic Local Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 1:36pm

Well if Craig Kelly put up a video on social media about Covid treatments, we should just fast track approval to whatever drug the furniture salesman is pushing.

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Supafreak Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 3:51pm

Haha VL , so a front line ICU doctor doesn’t no shit hey ? Look at the science mate you might learn something but I doubt it.

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Supafreak Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 4:10pm

By the way VL the Craig Kelly video was of him speaking in parliament urging the government to review its decision on the use of ivermectin for covid treatment and asking them to look at the data , not after xmas but NOW

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Supafreak Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 4:11pm

And I don’t vote liberal either buddy

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Sickaz Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 4:16pm

Nice work pops I have read and heard the same about the Pfizer vaccine, regarding it not preventing contraction and spread of the virus but eliminating most of the dangerous symptoms. The unknown long term effects of the rMNA vaccine to the immune system, amongst other things, are very concerning IMO

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Pops Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 4:22pm

I haven't seen anything that causes me any great concern on that front, but I'll wait and see what happens with the approvals process.

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Sickaz Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 4:27pm

Anyone who states that these vaccines are safe, conclusively, for the sake of not being misleading, should adjust their statement to something more like “we have not noticed any ill effects in the late stages of life to any of the lab animals we have administered the vaccine to and assume the same will go for humans”.

It depends on the telomeres of the lab mice as to how they develop into senescence. There is a lot of variation of telomere length among different sources of lab mice.

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Pops Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 4:41pm

Agree with the second part of what you say, but not necessarily the first. By "safe", it's pretty well understood that it means something along the lines of "meets or exceeds minimum safety benchmarks". If and when it passes a full therapeutic goods approvals process, there's no reason not to use that word.
It's the same case with any new medicine. It's simply impossible to know with complete certainty until you have the data to look back on.
I'd imagine (I'm not an expert in this area, just a scientifically literate punter, so I admit to be speculating here) they'd look at results of animal tests, whatever they can garner r.e. longterm effects from the human trials, and also consider any possibly mechanisms that might create any longterm complications as part of the approvals process.

FWIW, covid itself does seem to cause some damage that could/would lead to long term impacts in some cases (loss of lung function,...)

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Vic Local Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 4:48pm

Supafreak, there's no substantial evidence ivermectin is a worthwhile drug for Covid 19. Just anecdotes and small sample studies, some of which are for SARS not Covid.
There's an army of medical professionals studying various covid treatments. If ivermectin showed substantial promise, there would be thousands of doctors researching the drug's effectiveness via clinical trials. So many experts have dismissed the effectiveness of the drug.
But you grab hold of one doctor and a lunatic Liberal Party MP's social media output and think ...eureka!!
That village idiot Craig Kelly is still promoting Hydroxy-Chloroquine. There's a reason why the drug approval process is overseen by experts, not YouTube resurchers who were furniture salespeople.

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Supafreak Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 5:15pm

VL this latest evidence is data from the last 3 months from a group of doctors who from the outset have been trying to find a solution with known drugs , watch the video , these aren’t run of the mill doctors they are leaders in their field , like the video states , the focus has been on new experimental vaccines not on what 100 years of medicine has taught us , at the end of the day it’s about politics and money make no mistake about that.

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Supafreak Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 5:18pm

The latest data is from countries from all over the world.

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Supafreak Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 5:20pm

Who do “ your experts “ work for ?

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Supafreak Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 5:41pm

It’s not “ 1 doctors opinion “ it’s a serious group of doctors both in the US and abroad , do yourself a favour and view the video , have a look who is holding this conference , and what Dr Kory has already been credited for , I think you just speak of the top of your head without prior investigation.

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Vic Local Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 5:41pm

I reckon supafreak might be telling me to "do your own resurch" really soon.

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Supafreak Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 5:58pm

Give them enough rope and they will hang them selves comes to mind lol

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Blowin Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 7:33pm

Telling Northern Beaches residents to remain at home after they’ve all paid deposits on their holiday accommodation in the regions and packed the car......sure , that’ll happen .

Super spread , super spread , she’s super spreading yowwww !

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JQ Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 7:45pm

Supafreak, seems you're alleging some sort of conspiracy here. I really don't think that's plausible at all.

'the focus has been on new experimental vaccines not on what 100 years of medicine has taught us'

Have a think about that statement and weigh up the probabilities in your head for a sec. That might have been largely the focus in the media coverage, but you can be assured doctors the world over were and are looking for treatments in the current lineup of medicines available.

Even if ivermectin is really cheap, by the sounds of it people would need an extended course, that's 10's of billions of doses, it's still absolutely truckloads of money. In fact, if I recall correctly (which I may well not) the cost of the vaccines were around $20 - $25 each, so $40 - $50 per person, a full course of ivermectin might even be more expensive than the available vaccines.

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Supafreak Thursday, 17 Dec 2020 at 8:00pm

Conspiracy ? Please google FLCCC then have a look at there data and findings , if you want to go further have a look at the doctors who make up the FLCCC and their credentials. If you believe politicians and pharmaceutical companies are squeaky clean , then you may have to do some more research, Pfizer track record ain’t that great.