A major swell is possible from Wed as a deep low may form in a a trough line either E of Tasmania or off the Gippsland coast, possibly moving up off the NSW South Coast - enhanced by extra warm water pooled up in that region.
The outlook for next week is poor so make the most of a small pulse of swell for the weekend.
A monsoon trough sits over Northern Australia terminating in the Coral Sea, with a strong high moving into the Tasman to start next week. The resulting SE surge up through the Tasman into the Coral Sea generates plenty of swell as the fetch spreads out across the Tasman.
The southwards protusion of winds from a high and retrograding trough will generate fun sized E’ly swells.
The surf will go poor into the weekend, with a small window down South early next week before onshore winds and stormy surf out of the south kicks back in.
Make the most of this morning's swell and improving conditions before onshore winds kick in on the weekend. Early next week looks fun.
One final pulse of swell for Indo, then easing.
A large high SE of the South Island (1034 hPa) interacting with a broad low pressure trough in the South Pacific which will supply E’ly quadrant swell in the near term as the low pressure trough retrogrades back towards the east coast and a SE surge develops up the QLD coast.
The high pressure belt remains positioned well to the south with continuing troughiness and NE wind episodes ahead.
Small building W/SW swell tomorrow, peaking Friday with generally light winds. Poor weekend with a strong front moving through.
