Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Steve Shearer (issued Fri Jan 12th)

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Small S swell Sat, slightly bigger Sun PM with S-SE winds both days
• NE windswell episode Mon PM / buildog further into Tues and Wed AM
• Another low may form E of Tasmania Wed next week with large swells from Wed-Fri- still low confidence in specifics, check back Mon for revisions

Recap

Only tiny surf in the 1ft range yesterday, holding in a similar size range today with NE winds freshening and tending NW late in the day. 

This weekend and next week (Jan12 - Jan19)

No great change to the weekend f/cast with high pressure in the Tasman moving towards New Zealand and a trough and front expected over the weekend in advance of the next major high.

Sat sees light/mod S’ly winds establish in the wake of a front and small S swell wrap to 2ft become established.

Size holds into Sun morning before pulsing again in the  a’noon to 2ft with continuing S-S/SE winds.

A strong high then moves into the Tasman next week moving over the state Mon with light winds tending NE on the a’noon and some leftover S swell to 2ft , easing during the day.

NE windswell increases Tues to 3ft as a trough approaches.

A major swell is possible from Wed as a deep low may form in a a trough line either E of Tasmania or off the Gippsland coast, possibly moving up off the NSW South Coast - enhanced by extra warm water pooled up in that region. 

Potential for plenty of swell next week if this low forms

That may see gales develop next to Tasmania Wed with a rapid increased in S swell to 6ft or more. If the low moves slowly north we may then see swells develop from the SE through E into Thurs and Fri.

With the current ultra troughy, unstable pattern and the Tasman Sea a hot, soupy mess we can also expect revisions, possibly major on Mon.

Seeya then and have a great weekend