We’re generally looking at a spell of very small surf across the region. Our east swell window is devoid of activity, however there are a couple of flukey south swells that’ll glance the coast. More in the Forecaster Notes.
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We’ve got a steady supply of building southerly swells on the cards, originating from two seperate fetches contained within one broader system, all associated with an amplifying Long Wave Trough. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Sometime mid-late afternoon, I’m expecting the regional wave buoys (in Northern NSW) to have picked up the leading edge (15+ seconds) of a new SE swell generated by an intense low that formed S/SE of New Zealand on Monday - in actual fact, a merger between the low that generated our current swell, and a new polar low. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Strong fronts have been pushing through the lower Tasman Sea all weekend, and they’ll provide plenty of south swell for the next few days. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Model guidance remains consistent for a succession of secondary fronts to push through the lower Tasman Sea on Sunday and Monday, generating strong reinforcing southerly swells for Monday, Tuesday and maybe early Wednesday. More in the Forecaster Notes.
We have some small E’ly swell on the way for SE Qld, and then a run of solid S'ly swell, biggest in Northern NSW. More in the Forecaster Notes.
We’ve got a couple of source on the cards but nothing overly special. More in the Forecaster Notes.
TC Harold is expected to remain behind the New Caledonian swell shadow this weekend, and upon re-entering our swell window on Monday and Tuesday, will likely move too fast to the east, which is a poor storm track for our swell prospects anyway. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Next week has plenty of swell sources on the cards, though things have changed a little since Monday’s notes were prepared. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Model guidance is also suggesting a tropical cyclone may form in the Coral Sea this weekend. More in the Forecaster Notes.