So, we’ve got a couple of swells for the weekend.
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SE Qld will see a small building trade swell, from a ridge that’s expected to strengthen through the Coral Sea. Across Northern NSW, we have a few days of south swell to look forward to.
The weekend looks OK across SE Qld, and reasonable across Northern NSW.
The other area of interest I’ll be keeping a close eye on is a small easterly dip south of Fiji around Monday.
The models have shifted around since Monday, with regards to Friday’s local wind outlook.
It’s a tricky week ahead for surf forecasting purposes, but there is one underlying theme that will unite us for the next five days. Northerly winds.
The current S/SE groundswell moving across Northern NSW is still showing strongly across Southern NSW, which lends credibility to the prospects of some decent leftover energy for Saturday morning - at least in the Far North.
The fetch responsible for our current swell event has largely exited the swell window, so we’re looking at a slow but steady easing trend from Thursday onwards.
Essentially, the E/NE swell from the Coral Sea trough/depression has been pushed back a half to one day or so.
At the same time, the Coral Sea trough will have slid southwards, developing an impressive easterly fetch between the mainland and New Caledonia. This fetch is expected to reach maturity around Monday but will weaken only slowly as it continues south of Byron latitudes into Tuesday and Wednesday.