A broad trough of low pressure is expected to bud a surface low near New Caledonia over the short term, generating more quality E-E/NE swell as the low drifts through the South Pacific slot and into the Tasman.
Primary tabs
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/04/26/more-autumn-goodness-ahead-potentially
freeride76
Wednesday, 26 April 2023
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/04/24/another-dynamic-autumn-outlook-ahead
freeride76
Monday, 24 April 2023
The major swell generator will be a broad fetch of SE-E/SE winds in the Coral Sea/Northern Tasman which will be enhanced later in the week as a broad tropical low tracks southwards from New Caledonia and into the wide open Eastern swell window. This will keep the sub-tropical Points pumping and filter down to temperate NSW late this week and into the weekend.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/04/21/fun-options-around-the-compass
freeride76
Friday, 21 April 2023
A few minor tweaks to the weekend f/cast with winds just a bit more robust than they looked on Wed.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/04/19/eastern-swell-window-stays-active-while
freeride76
Wednesday, 19 April 2023
We still have the trough block pattern in place with the South Pacific low centre contracting away to the NE while a secondary low centre retrogrades back into the Tasman Sea. An anchoring high is being shunted away with a trough and front expected tomorrow before a new dominant high moves in from the Bight.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/04/17/days-e-swell-ahead-few-good-windows
freeride76
Monday, 17 April 2023
The trough-block pattern set-up nicely over the weekend and we’re looking at a sustained run of swell from the Eastern quadrant. A long, angled trough with embedded low pressure centres on the Eastern flank is concentrating broad E-E/NE infeed fetches in our Eastern swell window.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/04/14/fun-options-over-the-weekend-stack-swell
freeride76
Friday, 14 April 2023
OK, we’re getting more clarity on the dynamic situation expected to unfold next week. The current small low off the North Coast quickly gets whisked away towards New Zealand and becomes enjoined in a long, NW-SE blocking trough pattern, which is expected to have more low pressure centres embedded in it next week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/04/12/lots-leftover-s-swells-week-very-dynamic
freeride76
Wednesday, 12 April 2023
The broad, complex Tasman low which generated large S swells is now positioned on the other side of New Zealand with a lingering fetch of SSE-SE winds under the South Island. A much smaller, cut-off low NW of Tasmania is linked via a trough line to TC Ilsa off the Kimberly Coast and is expected to drift into the Tasman Sea tomorrow bringing a fresh S’ly flow to round off the week. A dynamic trough blocking pattern is then expected to unfold in the medium term.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/04/10/stacks-south-swell-then-swing-the-east
thermalben
Monday, 10 April 2023
A deep Tasman low positioned midway between the Apple Isle and New Zealand is responsible for the current south swell. And it's not over yet.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/04/07/seasonal-change-easter-s-swell-episode
freeride76
Friday, 7 April 2023
A mid-latitude low slips East of Tasmania overnight and deepens rapidly as it merges with an incoming frontal system. The front brings a strong W’ly flow through Sat which will herald the start of a major S swell episode.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/04/05/fun-ely-swell-replaced-much-stronger
freeride76
Wednesday, 5 April 2023
The big ticket item presently is the complex trough of low pressure off the Mid North Coast. Current ASCAT (satellite windspeed) passes show a proximate fetch of strong winds with embedded low end E’ly quarter gales aimed directly at the Mid North Coast.
