Under current modelling, by first light Sat morning a trough of low pressure will be deepening due east of the Illawarra.
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/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/05/29/couple-low-energy-days-dynamic-weekend
freeride76
Wednesday, 29 May 2024
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/05/27/nice-autumn-conditions-start-the-week
freeride76
Monday, 27 May 2024
A pair of weak cold fronts are expected to pass over Tasmania in the short term, generating small S swells which will overlap with the last pulses coming from the polar low now SE of New Zealand. A dynamic, troughy pattern looks set to unfold over the weekend.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/05/23/light-winds-and-s-swells-over-the
freeride76
Friday, 24 May 2024
High pressure is approaching Tasmania with a weak trough expected to linger in the Tasman over the weekend and lead to mostly light/variable breezes. A complex polar low is approaching the NZ corridor and although the frontal progression looks a notch less favourable for swell production up the East Coast we’ll still see S’ly groundswell pulses over the weekend.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/05/22/easing-swells-the-weekend-some-s-pulses
freeride76
Wednesday, 22 May 2024
Local swell sources dry up but polar lows better aimed at Pacific targets will send some long period S swell up the pipe over the weekend and early next week before a more subdued outlook takes hold.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/05/20/sluggish-high-in-the-bight-holds-sly
freeride76
Monday, 20 May 2024
The remnants of the weekends low pressure trough are currently being reinforced by a another cold front and expected to form a broad low pressure system in the Tasman in the short term which will supply some fun waves this week with an easing trend into the weekend
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/05/17/strong-run-s-se-swells-ahead-windows
freeride76
Friday, 17 May 2024
An angled trough of low pressure forms off the NSW Coast o/night and quickly moves out into the Tasman Sea. Compared to Wed’s notes windspeeds look a smidge weaker, but the fetch forms a better aligned SE arm around the trough line through Sat.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/05/15/nice-settled-days-end-the-week-wild-and
freeride76
Wednesday, 15 May 2024
Strong winds to potential S’ly gales look to develop o/night Fri into Sat as the low pressure trough deepens offshore and a strong high moves into the Bight.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/05/13/easing-swells-week-sizey-windy-s-swell
freeride76
Monday, 13 May 2024
Small swells from this low will ease through the week with some deep polar activity sending more small S swell wrap up the Pipe before a stronger frontal intrusion this weekend brings a sizier S swell with plenty of S wind.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/05/10/swells-various-sources-over-the-weekend
freeride76
Friday, 10 May 2024
Mixed in with that will be a nice little boost in E-E/SE swell from fetches on the NZ side of the Tasman, holding into Sun, likely even increasing a notch from a broad fetch of winds infeeding into the developing low pressure trough.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/05/08/still-bit-iffy-better-outlook-the
freeride76
Wednesday, 8 May 2024
The resulting high pressure ridge is leading to deep onshore flows and a trough along the coast is expected to move offshore Sun and form a broad trough of low pressure early next week. That should see improved conditions north of the low pressure trough.
