The long and short of this pattern is that SE Qld will remain very small for much of the outlook period.
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In Northern NSW, the south swell we saw today will ease throughout the morning but a new south swell will build concurrently, arriving across the Mid North Coast early.
Friday’s conditions look pretty good with mainly light variable winds across most regions.
An East Coast Low is forming off the Southern NSW coast, and it’s resulting in a lot of headaches on the forecasting front. As such, confidence is rather low on the specifics for the entire forecast period
The main concern this weekend are the local winds.
The forecast is actually a little more complex for the next few days, but ultimately the chances of finding a good remains tricky due to the local wind field.
The new SE swell that’s filling into the coast right now originated from a small cutoff low that formed off the West Coast of New Zealand’s South Island on Saturday.
No changes to the weekend forecast. The current south swell will ease a little into Saturday, but we should still see early 3-4ft sets at south facing beaches across Northern NSW. Due to the southerly swell direction, surf size will remain very small in SE Qld away from south swell magnets.
Thursday is looking at a building southerly swell from a south-west fetch that’s expected to develop off the Southern NSW coast early in the day.
Still, based on what we’ve seen in Southern NSW today, south facing beaches in Northern NSW should see 3ft sets early Tuesday, becoming smaller into the afternoon.