Models are in good agreement now for strong gales to push NE of Tas as a deep low transits the Tasman Sun/Mon into an already active sea state.
There's plenty of quality surf days on the way with good swells and improving winds.
Some quiet days then follow before a much more robust front and low enter the lower Tasman late in the weekend driving some sizey S swell up the coast.
Some quiet days then follow before a much more robust front and low enter the lower Tasman late in the weekend driving some sizey S swell up the coast early next week.
The surf will start to come up from Friday, strongest on the weekend but with winds from the south-eastern quadrant.
There's plenty of swell inbound though winds will be dicey. There should be a couple of windows for the savvy.
The weekend is looking chunky with a good new S/SW groundswell.
This week will be tiny and mostly clean, with some good new swell on the weekend but with dicey winds.
Further ahead and we should see high pressure become slow moving in the Tasman next week. A moderate trade-flow looks to set up in the Coral Sea, with workable trade-wind swells across CQ for the second half of next week. Either way, nothing dramatic in the tropics on the radar, so we’ll come back Wed and see how it’s looking.
The high cell is weak but we’re looking at a fun end to Summer, with some mid week NE windswell for Tasmania and small background E swells for the sub-tropics. After that quiet spell extends into the start of Autumn a stronger frontal intrusion into the Tasman looks likely next week with some robust S swell accompanying it.
