Smaller swells, cleanest early next week
Smaller swells, cleanest early next week
The surf looks a bit smaller with mid-period S/SW energy, clean and fun early next week.
The surf looks a bit smaller with mid-period S/SW energy, clean and fun early next week.
We’re looking at a complicated synoptic set-up from Wed next week with multiple small low pressure troughs off the NSW Coast and the remnants of a cut-off low which tracks SE into the Tasman as it weakens.
Our great run of surf and conditions has come to an end and it'll be tricky trying to find a decent wave over the coming forecast period.
We've got dropping surf in size and period on the weekend with average but workable conditions tomorrow, cleaner on the beaches Sunday. A tricky start to early-mid next week follows.
A Bass Strait fetch later Mon should provide some small refracted S swell later Tues, likely missing the South Coast-Illawarra stretch and showing from Sydney to the Hunter with some 2-3ft sets in the a’noon.
There's plenty of swell due into the end of the week and early next week but winds will be a problem.
A tricky period with a good swell spoilt by onshore winds tomorrow, improving slowly from Friday but with smaller, weaker S/SW swells.
A more local fetch of NE winds is now developing off the South Coast of NSW and into Bass Strait with a corresponding rise in NE windswell expected for NETas.
We’re in the middle of the blocking pattern which is coming in a little weaker than modelled. High pressure (1025hPa) sits in the Central Tasman directing a fairly insipid SE flow through most of the Central/Northern Tasman and extending into the Coral Sea. A long trough through the Coral Sea and South Pacific with embedded low pressure centres is not tightening the pressure gradient to the extent modelled. As a result surf is coming in at the low end of f/cast expectations, and this soft trend is expected to continue.
A long trough through the Coral Sea and South Pacific with embedded low pressure centres is not tightening the pressure gradient to the extent modelled. As a result surf is coming in at the low end of f/cast expectations, and this soft trend is expected to continue.