A front pushing aggressively NE into the lower Tasman on the weekend forms a low pressure centre which becomes slow moving near New Zealand early next week and this will be our dominant swell source for the week.

No great change to the f/cast with a high pressure ridge already building across the QLD coast and set to be reinforced by a much, stronger high which moves SE of Tasmania (summer latitudes) over the weekend.

No great change to the current pattern with a large high sitting very far up (right up on the QLD/NSW border!) allowing free passage for cold fronts into the lower Tasman and a generally synoptic W’ly flow to continue across the region. Mostly long period S swell trains will continue to the be the dominant swell source until next week when a much more S’ly located high brings an onshore flow to most of the Eastern Seaboard. A trough of low pressure looks to briefly form off the Mid North Coast early next week before moving away quickly.

We'll see large surf developing through tomorrow afternoon, cleanest and easing Friday.