Following our first cold outbreak of the season last weekend and earlier this week, we've got another progression of cold fronts and polar air due to make its way up and across us through next week under the influence of a strong node of the Long Wave Trough. This node will be slow moving, taking its time to cross the Tasman Sea and then across New Zealand next weekend.
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The current large swell will ease rapidly overnight but conditions will clean right up and there's fun surf days from the weekend.
No great quality swells but a few windows either side of the strong, cold low currently moving across us.
An improvement in the wind outlook east of Melbourne through the weekend, with cold, windy and low quality surf developing next week.
A fun weekend across spots west of Melbourne with a window to the east next week before a strong, cold low moves in across us.
A small week ahead of some new, fun swell on the weekend. Windy and cold next week.
No major changes to the weekend outlook, but a few slight tweaks.
OK, before we get to the outlook, it’d be good to touch base on a few things regarding the current swell event. Mainly around expectations, and where they should be positioned.
So, here we are, on the cusp of a major winteresque swell (and weather) pattern.
TThe associated fetch is lining up in the best part of the Vicco swell window (relative to surf size and consistency), and will remain slow moving as it reaches maturity, drawn out over an impressive 30-odd hours or so, which helps to exaggerate eventual surf size above the usual model expectations. It's not a common event.