The model guidance for the rest of next week is all over the shop.
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Confidence is reasonably high for how this event will pan out across Northern NSW into Thursday, though any energy out of the south always throws a curveball relative to SE Qld.
There’s a lot of strong swell on the way this week, though it’ll be very south in direction and will therefore create a wide range in heights between Northern NSW and South-east Queensland beaches.
Lots of peaky options for the next few days ahead of another round of S'ly swell next week.
The timing on each phase of energy from this pattern isn’t very clear as it’s not a frequently active swell window, so we need some elasticity on this energy as we move into Friday.
Waves, waves, waves - first the south, then south-east and then some potential out of the north-east too. Lots of options throughout the entire period.
Obviously, with ideal winds out of the south, all road should lead to the SE Qld points. By and large, they will be your best bet but we need to factor in a significant drop in size because of the generally low periods and southerly swell direction.
The big question mark for Thursday is the long range east swell that’s been discussed in this notes for the last week or two.
We’re back to an extended southerly swell regime across the East Coast. However, as has been discussed for the last couple of weeks, we also have some inbound E’ly energy from several sources in the South Pacific - one way out south of Tahiti mid-late last week, and another low that developed N/NE of New Zealand over the weekend.
Set waves will be equally as inconsistent as what we’ve seen over the last 72 hours, but a bigger risk on Saturday - especially across the Mid North Coast - is a freshening northerly breeze.