The models have changed the structure and evolution of a deep Tasman Low that’s expected to form east of the South Coast on Saturday morning. But despite the slight downgrade in the model guidance, I actually prefer the progged evolution. More in the Forecaster Notes.
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/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/09/23/lots-southerly-swell-ahead
thermalben
Wednesday, 23 September 2020
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/09/21/small-pickings-week-ahead-large-sly
thermalben
Monday, 21 September 2020
A Tasman Low is expected to rapidly intensify off the Southern NSW coast on Saturday morning. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/09/18/pockets-opportunities-mix-swells
thermalben
Friday, 18 September 2020
A broad polar low/front below the continent mid-week has generated a strong new southerly groundswell that will bend up and into the Southern NSW coast. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/09/16/complex-mix-swells-the-south-and-north
thermalben
Wednesday, 16 September 2020
Actually, we have four, almost five more days of flukey long period southerly swell on the way. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/09/14/strong-though-very-flukey-south-swell
thermalben
Monday, 14 September 2020
I’m still expecting three days of southerly swell activity, but I am being much more cautious in my expectations. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/09/11/slow-weekend-then-strong-directional-the
thermalben
Friday, 11 September 2020
We’ve got a weekend of small peripheral swell sources. But, the outlook for most of next week revolves around a vigorous frontal progression through the Southern Ocean below Tasmania, and up into the lower Tasman Sea. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/09/09/average-waves-the-short-term-long-term
thermalben
Wednesday, 9 September 2020
An approaching trough will freshen northerly winds about most coasts on Saturday, before easing and swinging light NW on Sunday. So, the second half of the weekend will by far have the best conditions. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/09/07/lots-swell-the-way-though-conditions
thermalben
Monday, 7 September 2020
Small surf will prevail for the short term, though it won’t become totally flat. And the the rest of the week looks interestingly complex. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/09/04/small-weekend-surf-plenty-action-the
thermalben
Friday, 4 September 2020
With only peripheral activity across all of our swell windows (see below), we’re looking at a small weekend of waves. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/09/02/slow-slow-slow-period-waves-ahead
thermalben
Wednesday, 2 September 2020
It’s been interesting watching the evolution of the weather models over the last few days, regarding the weekend outlook. More in the Forecaster Notes.
