The image below shows storm force winds around the low, and also highlights the main headache I have at the moment - working out how much of this fetch is shadowed behind Tasmania, and how much sits just inside the western periphery of our acute south swell window. More in the Forecaster Notes.
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/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/12/02/tricky-long-period-swell-couple-days
thermalben
Wednesday, 2 December 2020
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/11/30/interesting-period-flukey-south-swell
thermalben
Monday, 30 November 2020
The main synoptic feature is a deep Southern Ocean low that's expected to *almost* bomb just W/SW of Tasmania. By ‘almost’, I mean ‘not quite reach the threshold requirements for a bombing low’, which is a 24hPa drop in 24 hours, though it certainly will come pretty close. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/11/27/small-windy-pockets-short-term-then
thermalben
Friday, 27 November 2020
The weekend outlook is pretty complex. Next week, even more so. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/11/25/fun-waves-the-open-beaches
thermalben
Wednesday, 25 November 2020
This afternoon’s fun SE swell should persist through Thursday, before easing slowly through Friday. Winds are a little tricky though. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/11/23/lots-little-options-pick-and-choose
thermalben
Monday, 23 November 2020
Tuesday’s south swell will ease quickly into Wednesday, and we’ll see a temporary low point early morning, ahead of a new SE swell from the southern flank of the Tasman Low. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/11/20/more-meh-yeh-itll-be-surfable
thermalben
Friday, 20 November 2020
Sunday’s troughy pattern is still expected to develop into an impressive Tasman Low on Monday, but it’s expected to be whisked quickly to the east. This will reduce its size potential for Southern NSW though we should see a couple of days of waves from it. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/11/18/patchy-short-term-period-next-week-the
thermalben
Wednesday, 18 November 2020
There’ll be options to finish the working week but expect patchy conditions. Next week looks promising though. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/11/16/coupla-fun-beachie-days-ahead
thermalben
Monday, 16 November 2020
A vigorous front currently pushing through eastern Bass Strait is presently very westerly in alignment which isn’t great for swell prospects. However we’ll see a slight W/SW kink in the synoptic flow overnight and this will provide just enough directional incentive to allow a brief flush of south swell to push up the Southern NSW coast. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/11/13/not-terribly-inspiring-therell-be-waves
thermalben
Friday, 13 November 2020
Monday has a chance for delivering a 60% version of today. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/11/11/make-the-most-friday
thermalben
Wednesday, 11 November 2020
The outlook for the next few days is relatively straightforward. More in the Forecaster Notes.
