The big question for Tuesday is: will there be any leftover south swell?
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Sunday is a complex, dynamic day to look forward to.
Large surf on the way. Read about it in the Forecaster Notes!
Today’s strong southerly swell is now easing across the region. However we have a couple of smaller southerly pulses expected over the coming days.
A series of secondary fronts will move into the lower Tasman Sea behind the weekend’s event, supplying useful south swell through the first half of next week. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Noticeable swing in the model guidance for the weekend - in our favour too, which is nice.
The synoptics are quite busy at the moment with a surface trough stretching longitudinally across the western Tasman Sea, and a series of fronts pushing through the Great Australian Bight.
There won’t be any shortage of surf this weekend. However, conditions will be quite mixed. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Water temps are reportedly down 1-2 degrees since the start of the week, and I wouldn’t be surprised if it drops a little more as we head towards the weekend. So you may need to being back the winter rubber!
I’ve never been one to simplify a forecast when a thesis will suffice, but the fact is that the surf outlook for this week is relatively straight forward, in a broad synoptic sense anyway.