We’re now on the cusp of a dynamic, tropical induced blocking pattern with low pressure hiving off an active monsoon trough in the Coral Sea and meandering in Coral Sea before drifting down into the Northern Tasman. The high pressure belt holds good support for this low pressure area with reinforcing cells stacking onto a slow moving system located at South Island latitudes. This will see an extended E’ly swell event, initially favouring sub-tropical areas and then spreading south to temperate NSW later this week.
Primary tabs
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/12/26/plenty-chunky-ene-swell-the-way-the-ny
freeride76
Monday, 26 December 2022
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/12/22/tiny-waves-xmas-plenty-e-swell-incoming
freeride76
Friday, 23 December 2022
The broad pattern will be setting up by Boxing Day with a dominant, slow moving high in the Tasman and low pressure expected to form along the monsoon trough line in the Coral Sea and in the South Pacific near the North Island. That will see at least dual swell producing fetches aimed at the Eastern Seaboard.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/12/21/little-waves-xmas-some-chunky-e-swell
freeride76
Wednesday, 21 December 2022
Models are now firming on a trough of low pressure forming near the North Island early next week and retrograding in a SW direction back towards the Eastern seaboard.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/12/18/surf-the-downwards-slide-tomorrow-small
freeride76
Monday, 19 December 2022
Pressure gradients will now slowly ease as the low starts to dissipate and the strong high weakens as it moves South of Tasmania through tomorrow. As this swell generating pattern breaks down we’ll be left with a weak, troughy pattern coming into the Xmas weekend with no major swell sources on hand, so you’ll need to get your grovel boards ready for Santa.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/12/16/wait-theres-more-the-tasman-low
thermalben
Friday, 16 December 2022
A reintensification of the Tasman Low on Saturday and Sunday - further east, near New Zealand - will generate a renewal of strong S/SE thru SE swell for Monday.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/12/14/large-and-windy-due-south-plus-some-east
thermalben
Wednesday, 14 December 2022
That's right, we're looking at a week of waves from a single swell source.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/12/12/stacks-flukey-sly-swell-and-another-the
thermalben
Monday, 12 December 2022
The next round of swell will be acute from the south, sourced from W/SW gales exiting eastern Bass Strait from this evening onwards, in associated with the same change that rocketed across the coast this afternoon.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/12/09/strong-the-south-then-the-east
thermalben
Friday, 9 December 2022
The real juice is lining up from the E/NE later next week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/12/07/strong-the-south-few-days-long-range
thermalben
Wednesday, 7 December 2022
No major changes to the forecast for the rest of the week, if anything an upgrade in size for the next south swell.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/12/05/coupla-decent-south-swells-in-the-mix
thermalben
Monday, 5 December 2022
This change will be linked in with a low off the eastern Tasmanian coast, and gale force S/SW winds will develop through the swell window, generating a decent southerly swell for Wednesday
