Spectacular charts more characteristic of late Summer/Autumn with a Cat 5 TC in the South Pacific bearing down on Vanuatu, and a powerful frontal intrusion poised to enter the Tasman Sea backed by a monster high in the Bight.
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/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/10/25/strong-swell-bombardment-ahead-powerful
freeride76
Wednesday, 25 October 2023
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/10/23/stacked-forecast-lots-wind-and-swell
freeride76
Monday, 23 October 2023
Late in the week, a combination of inland upper trough and a long angled trough extending from TC Lola remnants is expected to form a powerful surface low off the sub-tropical NSW Coast (likely between Lord Howe and Norfolk Is). As modelled, gales will produce a large E’ly quadrant swell event, with maximum size in Northern NSW, grading smaller into temperate NSW. A secondary October surprise that looks to be a major swell producer
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/10/20/plenty-options-over-the-weekend-another
freeride76
Friday, 20 October 2023
No great change to the weekend f/cast. An approaching complex trough, front and low complex will see freshening N/NE-NE winds through Sat with only a brief period of light NW winds inshore early.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/10/18/active-tasman-sea-sees-swell-around-the
freeride76
Wednesday, 18 October 2023
The synoptic set-up looks quite unseasonal at the moment with a 1031 hPa high drifting over NSW and a 1007 hPa low slow moving in the Tasman west of the North Island. Current ASCAT (satellite windspeed) passes show broad fetch of mostly strong S-S/SE winds with some embedded low end gales reasonably well aimed for East coast swell production.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/10/16/plenty-s-swell-short-term-cleaner-better
freeride76
Monday, 16 October 2023
A strong front and embedded trough of low pressure are currently located just off the Gippsland Coast, expected too move NE into the Tasman and driving a strong/ near gale force S’ly flow up the NSW Coast today, reaching the QLD in the wee hours of Tuesday. There’ll be an initial burst of S swell associated with the proximate fetch, with some better quality SE-E/SE swell from a secondary intensification of the low as it becomes slow moving near New Zealand.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/10/13/plenty-s-swell-over-the-weekend-windy
freeride76
Friday, 13 October 2023
We’ve got more clarity on the situation next week now as a lingering trough line from the NSW South Coast down to Gippsland is expected to deepen in response to a front and form a surface low in the Tasman Sea, likely later Mon.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/10/11/more-swells-the-s-some-potential-next
freeride76
Wednesday, 11 October 2023
Moderate strength high pressure (1025 hPa) is drifting NE into the Tasman with a strong polar storm well SW of NZ exiting the swell window. That should see a settled short term before another complex trough and frontal system pushes north along the coast tomorrow with a stiff SW-S change. More rapid wind changes into and over the weekend under a very mobile, troughy pattern with some potential next week for a surface low to form in one of the trough lines.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/10/09/coupla-south-swells-week-mixed
thermalben
Monday, 9 October 2023
The early arrival of today’s south swell means the short term schedule has been brought forward
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/10/06/plenty-south-swell-just-gotta-pick-the
thermalben
Friday, 6 October 2023
A series of secondary southerly swells will fill in overnight, replacing today's energy and maintaining...
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/10/04/great-waves-thursday-then-mixed-round
thermalben
Wednesday, 4 October 2023
Today's building short range NE swell will reach a peak during the middle of the night.
