A broad area of low pressure drifts NE to be close to Lord Howe Island on Mon, with ESE-E winds on the southern flank of the low pressure area. That system does look to persist in the Tasman at least until the middle of next week, generating fun sized SE-E swells. It's not a tremendously tight squeeze between the low and a high drifting E of Tasmania but it will be persistent enough to generate fun surf.
Primary tabs
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/03/10/some-favourable
freeride76
Friday, 10 March 2023
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/03/08/troughy-wind
freeride76
Wednesday, 8 March 2023
The complex low pressure gyre is slowly moving under Tasmania with the majority of any swell generating winds in the swell shadow of Tasmania. Hot air being dragged down from tropical Australia is now slowly being displaced by the cooler air from the Southern Ocean and driving a synoptic W’ly flow across temperate NSW with the sub-tropics still subject to hot, Spring-like N’lies.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/03/06/spring-winds-most
freeride76
Monday, 6 March 2023
Unfortunately this strong cold outbreak now looks to stall just too far West (behind the swell shadow of Tasmania) to really deliver any strong S swell to the East Coast, before weakening as it moves into the Tasman Sea swell window proper.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/03/03/dual-tcs-racing
freeride76
Friday, 3 March 2023
We may see a small amount of longer period E’ly energy as TC Judy briefly slows in the swell window. Nothing major, just a few 3ft sets. TC Kevin is now following the same path as TC Judy with just traces of E/NE-E energy added into the mix Sun/Mon.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/03/01/autumn-ordinary
freeride76
Wednesday, 1 March 2023
Lots of action on the charts but not much of it will translate to meaningful surf for the Eastern Seaboard. The tropics remains active with a monsoon trough and convective activity strewn across the Top End, while the edge of the trough in the South Pacific has spawned TC Judy, with another system behind it. Both of those systems are now modelled to track quickly SE through the swell window with no major swells generated.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/02/27/tease-the-tropics
freeride76
Monday, 27 February 2023
The troughy pattern will see rapid fire wind changes across temperate NSW this week and while all eyes are on the tropics it’s looking like a continuing tease with an expected tropical depression or TC moving quite quickly SE through the swell window with limited surf potential.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/02/24/small-fun-waves
freeride76
Friday, 24 February 2023
Models are now firming on a large tropical depression (possibly a TC) drifting southwards into the slot between New Caledonia and the North Island from mid next week. A broad, slow moving area of E’ly low end gales is likely on the southern flank of this system, initially favouring the sub-tropics, but radiating down to temperate NSW through next weekend.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/02/22/continuing-small
freeride76
Wednesday, 22 February 2023
Strong high pressure (1035 hPa) is now moving SE of Tasmania with an embedded trough along the advancing ridge ramping up wind speeds from the SSE-SE into the 20kts+ range. Conditions should settle as the high moves into the Tasman and weakens and the ridge relaxes through the end of the week. The high is augmenting an existing SE-ESE tradewind fetch through the Northern Tasman and Coral Seas and maintaining small E-SE swell.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/02/20/building-surf
thermalben
Monday, 20 February 2023
We've got some waves on the way, but conditions are looking a little average to be honest. There'll be waves but it won't be epic.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/02/17/ordinary-weekend
thermalben
Friday, 17 February 2023
OK first up, we've got some small, user-friendly east swell on the way, courtesy of a building ridge across the northern Tasman Sea, stretching out towards a small troughy feature N/NE of New Zealand on Sunday.
