Victoria Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 27th January)

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Best Days: Both coasts early Saturday, both coasts Monday, Surf Coast early Tuesday, both coasts Wednesday, Surf Coast Thursday morning

Recap

Really fun waves on the Surf Coast yesterday morning with clean 2-3ft waves in Torquay and 3-4ft sets at 13th Beach, while the Mornington Peninsula was bumpy and average.

Today the swell was a little smaller with variable winds across all locations, opening up fun surf on the Mornington Peninsula and Phillip Island.

This weekend and next week (Jan 28 – Feb 3)

Over the weekend our slightly stronger pulses of W/SW groundswell are due from continued frontal activity through our western swell window.

Tomorrow's pulse is expected to be similar in size to today's but a little less consistent, Torquay will likely be around 2ft, with 2-3ft sets at 13th Beach and 3-5ft waves on the Mornington Peninsula.

Conditions will be good across both coasts early tomorrow with local offshore winds, but a change is due around 10am from the W/SW, increasing from the SW into the afternoon.

Unfortunately SE winds are due to linger into Sunday creating average conditions across most beaches. The Mornington Peninsula and Phillip Island will handle it best and an event better pulse of W/SW swell will build through the day.

This has and is still being generated by a relatively weak but persistent mid-latitude system moving in from the west and should see the Surf Coast building to 3ft+ through the afternoon at exposed breaks and 6ft on the Mornington Peninsula.

Easing surf is then expected on Monday with much better winds from the N'th, tending more NW into the afternoon. The Surf Coast will be easing from 3ft on the sets with 5-6ft waves on the Mornington Peninsula.

The new swell due Tuesday across the state is looking pretty similar to Sunday's, with the intense low forming south-west of WA losing most of its strength as it nears us during the weekend and early next week.

The swell will fill in Tuesday to a good 3ft+ on the Surf Coast again with 6ft sets on the Mornington Peninsula with W/SW-SW winds. The morning might see W/NW winds around Torquay, but we'll have to review this Monday.

A secondary broad but weaker front pushing in on the backside of the low will keep moderate levels of mid-period energy hitting through Wednesday and Thursday as winds tend variable Wednesday morning and then likely NW Thursday morning. We'll look at this again Monday, have a great weekend!