Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday June 12th)

Best Days: Protected spots today, tomorrow morning and early Friday, selected spots Sunday through early next week

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Moderate + sized mid-period S/SW swell tomorrow, easing Fri
• W/NW tending SW winds tomorrow, light-mod S/SE Fri, possibly variable early
• Strengthening S/SW winds Sat, persisting Sun, Mon and Tue, fresh SW Wed
• Large SE groundswell for Sun, easing slowly next week

Recap

Monday afternoon’s increase in swell eased back from a slower 2ft yesterday morning with clean conditions while today we’ve got building levels of mid-period swell that’s now a wind affected 4ft across Clifton.

Chunky sets today

This week and weekend (Jun 13 - 16)

Today’s local increase in swell will be replaced by some stronger mid-period S/SW energy tomorrow, generated by the earlier stages of the polar frontal system that has pushed up and into us today.

Good 4ft+ sets are due across Clifton tomorrow, then easing back from 3-4ft on Friday thanks to a small trailing front moving through our swell window today and tomorrow.

Local conditions look better tomorrow with a morning W/NW breeze, shifting SW into the afternoon while Friday looks dicey as a low forming to our east starts to shift back west towards us, bringing S/SE winds. There’s a chance for early variable conditons so keep an eye on the local wind observations and cams for a window.

Unfortunately as the low moves back west and strengthens, we’ll see strong S-S/SW winds developing across the region, starting Saturday and persisting through Sunday, Monday and Tuesday. They even may hold from the SW on Wednesday but we’ll have a closer look at this on Friday.

Swell wise, the low will project a fetch of strong to gale-force E/SE-SE winds right into us on the weekend, generating a large SE groundswell for Sunday coming in around the 6ft range, easing slowly into Monday and further next week while tending more S/SE.

Further down Storm Bay expect larger surf with smaller waves towards eastern ends.

Longer term there’s nothing significant on the cards so try and work the coming swells.