The main synoptic feature for the short term period is a developing complex Tasman Low that'll spin up east of Bass Strait overnight, and reach peak intensity on Friday, but actually remain active within our swell window until next Wednesday.
That's right, we're looking at a week of waves from a single swell source.
Windy, cold and with persistent swell energy from the south-eastern quadrant.
Plenty of swell but terrible conditions and weather for the coming days.
The surf will bottom out tomorrow morning but increase from there, with fun swells due from the afternoon through most of next week.
The coming days look poor with persistent gusty onshore winds and no quality surf. Conditions should improve next week but the swell will bottom out.
The end of the week will be poor ahead of a window of lighter winds Saturday, though with a sizey swell for the beaches.
Lots of swell due this weekend from both the Tasman Low, and the sub-tropical low south of Fiji. But we'll see good waves prior to then too.
The next round of swell will be acute from the south, sourced from W/SW gales exiting eastern Bass Strait from this evening onwards, in associated with the same change that rocketed across the coast this afternoon.
A prolonged, windy southerly swell is expected from Thursday through early next week.
