Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 3rd October)

Best Days: Early Thursday, Friday south swell magnets, Sunday, Monday and Tuesday mornings

Recap

Tiny surf yesterday with poor onshore conditions today with some new S'ly swell.

Today’s Forecaster Notes are brought to you by Rip Curl

This week and weekend (Oct 4 – 7)

Tomorrow we're expected to see a good long-period S'ly groundswell breaking across our south swell magnets, generated by a severe-low traversing the polar shelf the last couple of days.

Size wise we should see 3-4ft sets, though an early W/SW wind will favour more open beaches which will be smaller, before shifting S/SE through the morning.

The swell should start easing through Friday with a reinforcing pulse for the morning due to keep 3ft sets hitting south swell magnets, generated by a trailing fetch of W'ly gales through our southern swell window today and tomorrow.

Conditions should be clean again through the morning with a light W/NW offshore, tending N/NE through the day, favouring those south swell magnets.

The S'ly swell should continue to fade through Saturday from a smaller 2ft, but our new building E/NE swell has been shifted back more to Sunday/Monday.

This will be generated the Tasman Low forming off the southern NSW coast in the wake of today's change, with it initially sitting a bit further north late week before drifting back south towards us on the weekend.

We'll see a small fetch of strong E/SE-E winds generated on the edge of our swell window, producing a fun E/NE swell for Sunday afternoon and Monday morning to 2-3ft.

Also in the mix though will be a less consistent but stronger E/NE signal from a weak tropical low forming in a sustained trade-fetch above New Zealand.

This will direct a good fetch of E/NE winds towards us, providing infrequent 3ft sets at the same time.

Winds will be light offshore each morning and from the NW before NE sea breezes kick in.

Looking into the rest of next week and we may see a strong polar front pushing up and into the Tasman Sea past us mid-week, generating a new S'ly swell, but more on this Friday.