Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Ben Matson (issued Thursday 28th June)

Best Days: Friday: peaky NE swell with developing NW winds throughout the day (may be bumpy early).

Recap: Small easing surf on Wednesday with tiny conditions persisting into Thursday. 

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Note: Today’s Forecaster Notes will be brief, as Craig is away on annual leave. Also, these Forecaster Notes will be updated Tuesdays, Thursdays and Saturdays for the next few weeks.

Friday still has a nice north-east swell on the way, and with a poor outlook beyond that you’ll want to make the most of it.

A developing trough off the Southern NSW coast has aimed a decent NE fetch through our swell window (see below). The energy will peak through the middle of today and trend down into the late afternoon and over the weekend. Surf size shuld reach the 3ft mark at open beaches, maybe evenup to 3-4ft sets at reliable NE swell magnets at the height of the swell (may be slightly undersized early morning too). 

Local winds look tricky early morning under a lingering NE breeze but a NW change is modeled to push through during the day, so the best waves will occur into the afternoon with good winds and a peak in size.

Friday's swell will ease steadily into Saturday (only early morning will offer anything rideable, even then it’ll be very small and dropping), and the rest of the outlook is very patchy. 

Tasmania’s East Coast is always in a tricky position for south swells, and as it stands, the Southern Ocean is active with a lot of weather systems but they’ve developed unusual alignments and as such our swell window is largely devoid of any significant, sustained pattern required to get our region active. 

Additionally, the Tasman Sea is also expected to see a lengthy period of relative inactivity (in our swell window at least). So, from Saturday onwards we’re potentially staring down the barrel of tiny surf for a week or more.

Make the most of Friday! See you Saturday for the next update.