The latest model guidance has slowed TC Pola down a little, which has increased its size potential - though delayed its arrival until very late Sunday or early Monday.
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/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2019/02/27/easterly-swells
thermalben
Wednesday, 27 February 2019
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2019/02/25/endless-summer
thermalben
Monday, 25 February 2019
Ex-TC Oma is moving to the north, but in its wake we’re seeing a broad, stationary ridge strengthen across the Northern NSW, which will maintain a steady supply of useful trade swell all week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2019/02/22/surf-size-tc-oma
thermalben
Friday, 22 February 2019
TC Oma has weakened to Category 1 status, but will strengthen back to Category 2 into Saturday morning.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2019/02/20/massive-windy
thermalben
Wednesday, 20 February 2019
To be honest, SE Qld and Far Northern NSW coasts simply aren’t conditioned for swell events of this magnitude. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2019/02/18/large-cyclone
thermalben
Monday, 18 February 2019
On Sunday evening, the world’s leading atmospheric model (ECMWF) bucked the trend: keeping TC Oma off the SE Qld coast for a few days and then actually tracking it north, ahead of a coastal crossing mid-next week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2019/02/15/very-large
thermalben
Friday, 15 February 2019
It’s hard to stay focused on the short term when there’s a major cyclone event looking for the Coral Sea. So try not to get distracted by the synoptics for the next few days.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2019/02/13/lengthy-run-waves
thermalben
Wednesday, 13 February 2019
There’s some pretty exciting model progs for the Coral Sea and South Pacific next week. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2019/02/11/difficult-short
thermalben
Monday, 11 February 2019
Some of the forecast charts are very impressive for the weekend, with a broadening ridge through the Tasman Sea combining with a widespread trough of low pressure to the north to create a large, strong SE fetch aimed into the Coral Sea.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2019/02/08/east-swells
thermalben
Friday, 8 February 2019
The synoptics are incredibly complex at the moment.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2019/02/06/beauty-and-east
thermalben
Wednesday, 6 February 2019
Despite looking amazing on the synoptic chart, potential wave heights are likely to be considerably smaller compared to what we'd expect from a broad, consolidated, slow moving system of about the same size. More in the Forecaster Notes.
