Incredibly, the low in the Tasman Sea is still active right now and will still be generating swell for Southern NSW throughout Saturday and into Sunday morning. With an approx 1.5-2 day lag time across the basin, this means we’ll see easterly swell through the first half of next week. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Primary tabs
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/07/17/no-shortage-strong-swell-ahead
thermalben
Friday, 17 July 2020
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/07/15/large-surf-continue-well-the-weekend
Craig
Wednesday, 15 July 2020
There'll be no let up in the large and dangerous conditions until next week across the southern NSW coast. Winds will slowly abate and improve.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/07/13/low-set-bomb-in-the-tasman
Craig
Monday, 13 July 2020
A 'bombing low' will deliver a significant and dangerous round of south-easterly groundswell through the coming period, only suitable to the most experienced.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/07/10/quiet-weekend-ahead-east-coast-onslaught
thermalben
Friday, 10 July 2020
Just to be super picky - this low may not end up being an East Coast Low, but instead an Easterly Trough Low (or more common, a boring old Tasman Low). More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/07/08/easing-sly-swells-then-major-ecl-event
thermalben
Wednesday, 8 July 2020
Looks like the ECL tipped in Monday’s notes is going to eventuate next week. And therefore, we’re looking at some pretty large, windy surf for a few days. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/07/06/more-southerly-swell-ahead-and-possible
thermalben
Monday, 6 July 2020
On Wednesday, we’ll see the arrival of two overlapping swells, generated by a deep polar low that pushed up underneath Tasmania today and will tonight project a strong front through the lower Tasman Sea. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/07/03/extended-run-southerly-swell-coming
thermalben
Friday, 3 July 2020
This polar low looks really good on the synoptics and will generate some excellent overlapping southerly swells. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/07/01/smaller-few-days-then-large-outta-the
thermalben
Wednesday, 1 July 2020
The fetch responsible for the last few days of great waves has remained active off the west coast of New Zealand, though is now slowly weakening and rotating outside of our swell window. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/06/29/better-the-charts-suggest
thermalben
Monday, 29 June 2020
The swell source was very strong and sustained - and indeed, still is - however it was off axis from our swell window, and this will affect not only the size of the swell reaching Southern NSW compared to its northern counterparts but also the consistency. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2020/06/26/no-shortage-great-waves-ahead
thermalben
Friday, 26 June 2020
There’s been yet another rejig in the model output regarding a new surface low in the lower Tasman Sea this weekend. More in the Forecaster Notes.
