Lots of south swell for the next few days, with no real change to the outlook for the rest of the week.
Primary tabs
Right now there’s an impressive W/SW thru SW fetch of gales existing eastern Bass Strait, courtesy of a vigorous front that crossed the region overnight.
Looks like a great weekend ahead if you have a reliable south swell magnet up your sleeve.
On Friday, similarly small conditions will persist through the morning but a new south swell is expected to push through the middle of the day.
Lots of swell on tap this week with generally good conditions too.
The weekend outlook has been tricky all week, and even at less than a day out it’s still very complex.
The whole synoptic pattern surrounding this developing trough and possible East Coast Low has been stalled by a day or so. This means we’re looking at building swells and mainly dodgy winds on Saturday, with a peak in size on Sunday and a better chance for improving conditions.
Friday looks pretty dynamic, with the North Coast trough deepening considerably - possibly forming an East Coast Low - before the whole pattern drifts southwards.
Wave models have a minor reinforcement of E’ly swell due early Saturday morning, extending from the same fetch that produced today’s waves - essentially, an infeed of NE winds into the broad but slowly weakening Tasman trough
Our fun lovin' ECL is now dissipating into a broad trough encompassing the greater western half of the Tasman Sea.