/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2018/10/24/flukey-swells-and-tricky-winds-ahead
thermalben
Wednesday, 24 October 2018

Noticeable swing in the model guidance for the weekend - in our favour too, which is nice.

/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2018/10/22/small-windows-beachies-nothing
thermalben
Monday, 22 October 2018

The synoptics are quite busy at the moment with a surface trough stretching longitudinally across the western Tasman Sea, and a series of fronts pushing through the Great Australian Bight.

/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2018/10/19/tricky-weekend-ahead-plenty-options
thermalben
Friday, 19 October 2018

There won’t be any shortage of surf this weekend. However, conditions will be quite mixed. More in the Forecaster Notes.

/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2018/10/17/plenty-ne-swell-tricky-winds
thermalben
Wednesday, 17 October 2018

Water temps are reportedly down 1-2 degrees since the start of the week, and I wouldn’t be surprised if it drops a little more as we head towards the weekend. So you may need to being back the winter rubber!

/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2018/10/15/strong-ne-swells-all-week-poor-winds
thermalben
Monday, 15 October 2018

I’ve never been one to simplify a forecast when a thesis will suffice, but the fact is that the surf outlook for this week is relatively straight forward, in a broad synoptic sense anyway. 

/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2018/10/12/no-shortage-surf-few-periods-favourable
thermalben
Friday, 12 October 2018

We’re still expecting a deepening coastal trough off SE Qld early next week. In fact, it’s expected to slowly meander within our swell window until about Thursday which means it’ll generate E/NE energy all the way through until next weekend. More in the Forecaster Notes. 

/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2018/10/10/stacks-swell-stacks-onshore-breeze
thermalben
Wednesday, 10 October 2018

Unfortunately, the recent downgrade of the Tasman Low wasn’t the only model influence on the synoptics. Read all about it in the Forecaster Notes. 

/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2018/10/08/stacks-swell-ahead-end-week-onwards-will
thermalben
Monday, 8 October 2018

So, we've got a bloody good weekend coming up, it would seem.

/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2018/10/05/windy-weekend-ahead-possible-ecl-next
thermalben
Friday, 5 October 2018

Next week looks very dynamic, with an upper trough approaching from the west, combining with an intense polar outbreak to generate either a deep Tasman Low or a possible East Coast Low.

/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2018/10/03/extended-period-windy-conditions-though
thermalben
Wednesday, 3 October 2018

What’s going to affect our surf much more prominently is a developing trough off the South Coast that’s expected to form a closed system during Thursday, possibly a Tasman Low (just an outside chance for an ECL now).