Moderate strength high pressure (1025 hPa) is drifting NE into the Tasman with a strong polar storm well SW of NZ exiting the swell window. That should see a settled short term before another complex trough and frontal system pushes north along the coast tomorrow with a stiff SW-S change. More rapid wind changes into and over the weekend under a very mobile, troughy pattern with some potential next week for a surface low to form in one of the trough lines.
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/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/10/11/more-swells-the-s-some-potential-next
freeride76
Wednesday, 11 October 2023
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/10/09/coupla-south-swells-week-mixed
thermalben
Monday, 9 October 2023
The early arrival of today’s south swell means the short term schedule has been brought forward
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/10/06/plenty-south-swell-just-gotta-pick-the
thermalben
Friday, 6 October 2023
A series of secondary southerly swells will fill in overnight, replacing today's energy and maintaining...
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/10/04/great-waves-thursday-then-mixed-round
thermalben
Wednesday, 4 October 2023
Today's building short range NE swell will reach a peak during the middle of the night.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/10/02/large-ne-swell-mid-week-looking-best
thermalben
Monday, 2 October 2023
Main feature on the synoptic charts is a strengthening N'ly fetch adjacent the NSW coast, between a Tasman high and an approaching front through the Bight.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/09/29/workable-options-over-the-weekend
freeride76
Friday, 29 September 2023
We’ve got a strong, expansive front passing through the Tasman at present will which supply pulses of S swell over the coming days. High pressure over NSW is moving NE into the Tasman, with a N’ly flow developing. That N'ly flow will really intensify next week with some juicy NE windswell resulting.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/09/27/modest-mixed-bag-continues-the-weekend
freeride76
Wednesday, 27 September 2023
High cells are now tending to move NE as they enter the Tasman, bringing N’ly episodes which were rare through our triple La Niña but are becoming common as we enter El Niño proper. Small, combination swells and some light wind periods pad out the rest of the week with a more entrenched N’ly episode next week offering potential for a much juicier NE swell.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/09/25/lots-wind-changes-and-small-swells-work
freeride76
Monday, 25 September 2023
The high pressure belt is behaving in typical spring fashion- tracking NE as it enters the Tasman with episodic N’lies. We’ve got a small fetch out of Cook Strait at present from a decaying low pressure system, and small, compact low about to enter the Tasman. Combined with some swell from a tradewind band feeding into a long trough we’ll see concurrent small swells from these sources.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/09/21/nothing-major-ahead-enough-surf-most
freeride76
Friday, 22 September 2023
Not a great deal of action on the radar for next week but enough swell energy from various sources to get a surf most days. High pressure elongates and drifts NE into the Tasman with a light NW- N’ly flow expected for Mon morning and a small mixed bag of leftover S and E/NE swell filtering down from the tropics.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/09/20/workable-mixed-bag-swells-continues-the
freeride76
Wednesday, 20 September 2023
High pressure is now close to New Zealand, with an advancing trough and cold front bringing a fresh S’ly change, expected to generate a strong SE surge up the sub-tropical coast as a new high moves into the Bight and strengthens. Once the high moves into the Tasman over the weekend it’ll set up a blocking pattern but we’re expecting a few small S pulses leading up to that although winds look fickle. E'ly swell from persistent tradewind fetches should continue as a fun background source of swell.
