A trough moving north from a position east of Tasmania brings a vigorous S’ly change tomorrow extending into Fri before the summer pattern slowly resets over the weekend. Any large or moderate swell generating features have disappeared from the charts, alas.
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/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/01/02/back-summer-basics-small-beachies
freeride76
Wednesday, 3 January 2024
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/12/31/troughy-outlook-continues-some-prospects
freeride76
Monday, 1 January 2024
Not much action ahead for the short run in the f/cast region. Mod/fresh NE winds through Tues and Wed across temperate NSW with lighter N-NW winds inshore early. Local NE winds proximate to the coast and E’ly winds in the Northern Tasman will supply a typical Summer mix of NE and E/NE short period swells.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/12/28/bit-s-swell-end-the-year-more
freeride76
Friday, 29 December 2023
Models are divergent as to the fate of the trough with GFS suggesting a deepening of the system as it moves northwards, potentially forming a closed surface low and generating plenty of S/SE-SE swell Fri and into next weekend.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/12/27/enough-bits-and-pieces-get-wet-through
freeride76
Wednesday, 27 December 2023
No great change to the summer pattern with a massive heat dome over Central, Western and Northern Australia spawning trough lines which are creating unstable, stormy weather across large swathes of the East Coast. A complex inland trough/low is emerging from the Gippsland coast into the Tasman Sea with a fetch of SE-E/SE winds aimed at Tasmania and offering some small sideband energy up into Southern/Central NSW.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/12/25/wave-each-day-the-keen-lightvariable
freeride76
Monday, 25 December 2023
We’ll see some small E quadrant swell off the infeed, with a North-South gradient for size but even open the Far South Coast the size will be modest and onshore winds will keep quality low. Frontal systems following this troughy pattern should supply some better quality S swell of modest size late in the week and over NYE and New Years Day.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/12/22/looking-super-fun-saturday-then-tricky
thermalben
Friday, 22 December 2023
No major change to the weekend outlook, though Sunday’s winds are looking a little fruity.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/12/20/lotta-inbound-surf-multiple-directions
thermalben
Wednesday, 20 December 2023
A broad trough stretching the length of the NSW coast will form a surface low well east of Eden early Thursday, enhancing an already-strong S/SE flow through our immediate southern swell window.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/12/18/christmas-feast-the-east
thermalben
Monday, 18 December 2023
Lots of synoptic activity on the cards this week but ultimately just a few small windows of opportunity until the weekend when we'll see the dynamics change.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/12/15/coupla-windows-opportunity-target
thermalben
Friday, 15 December 2023
The key to scoring good surf will be to identify the timing of the wind change, as we should see westerlies somewhere in the middle.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/12/13/scrappy-surf-ahead-brief-windows
thermalben
Wednesday, 13 December 2023
Easing southerly swells will dominate tomorrow, and we’ll also see a small level of local NE windswell thanks to this afternoon’s developing breeze.
