A strong node of the Long Wave Trough is steering fronts into the Tasman Sea while a negative phase of the SAM (Southern Annular Mode) is bringing the southern Ocean storm track into a more northerly latitude, closer to the Australian continent and Tasman Sea. Both those factors will drive a series of strong cold fronts this week, with a step-ladder effect likely on swell pulses as each subsequent front works on an already charged sea state.
Primary tabs
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/06/06/welcome-winter-part-2-step-ladder-s
freeride76
Monday, 6 June 2022
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/06/03/negative-sam-amplify-the-southern
thermalben
Friday, 3 June 2022
Sunday’s NW quadrant wind trend will be related to an advancing frontal progression across the south-eastern corner of the country, associated with an amplifying Long Wave Trough.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/06/01/welcome-winter-south-swells-and-westerly
freeride76
Wednesday, 1 June 2022
Brisk westerly winds and a complex low pressure gyre in the Tasman Sea, with multiple cold fronts and a deep S’ly fetch of gales extending down to 55S have ushered in the first day of Winter.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/05/30/winter-wlies-ahead-strong-s-swell-the
freeride76
Monday, 30 May 2022
Another dynamic week ahead but a bit more straightforwards in the sense that all the incoming swell will be from the S - once the current E swell pulse peters out through tomorrow.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/05/27/swells-all-over-the-compass-offshore
freeride76
Friday, 27 May 2022
Right on cue, as head into the first week of winter, a nice cold outbreak and blast of W’ly winds with accompanying S’ly swells is headed our way.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/05/25/clean-conditions-combination-swells-nice
freeride76
Wednesday, 25 May 2022
Synoptic pattern still has a ground-hog day feel to it, with a large, slow moving high inching it’s way across the Tasman and a coastal trough lying parallel to almost the entire East Coast. Change is on the way though.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/05/23/flukey-swells-the-s-and-light-winds-week
Flukey swells from the S and light winds this week, with more energy from the E/NE later in the week
freeride76
Monday, 23 May 2022
Sub-tropical troughs and the remnants of TC Gina near New Caledonia are maintaining a deep E’ly flow through the Coral Sea while the last in a series of powerful cold fronts are now sweeping up past the South Island of New Zealand with small S to SSE swell pulses to come over the next couple of days from this source.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/05/20/continuing-pulses-the-s-some-unfriendly
freeride76
Friday, 20 May 2022
The frontal progression responsible for the S swell pulses over the last couple of days is now on the New Zealand side of the Tasman, with a large high approaching Tasmania setting up a firm ridge along the coast.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/05/18/plenty-s-swell-incoming-nice-long-tail
freeride76
Wednesday, 18 May 2022
A series of cold fronts with embedded troughs are now steaming into the Tasman Sea, anchored by a deep polar low which provided large swells for Victoria and New Zealand’s West Coast.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/05/16/strong-s-swells-thurs-winds-the-se
freeride76
Monday, 16 May 2022
Stronger fronts push up into the Tasman from later Wed, bringing a SW flow and bigger S swell as we head to the end of the week.
