/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2021/02/17/plenty-waves
James KC
Wednesday, 17 February 2021

Chunky SE swell turning E and then a low mixing it all up for a dynamic week of waves.

/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2021/02/15/stormy-wet-week
James KC
Monday, 15 February 2021

Plenty of swell, but winds will be mostly onshore and options limited to southern corners.

/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2021/02/12/average-weekend
thermalben
Friday, 12 February 2021

While all of this is going on, a weak tropical low near Fiji this weekend will have travelled south, before developing into an impressive multi-centred low pressure system off the West Coast of New Zealand’s North Island by Monday.

/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2021/02/10/hang-in-there
thermalben
Wednesday, 10 February 2021

Some modeling suggests this low will merge with the aforementioned broad troughy feature across the western Tasman Sea, forming a large, multi-centered low pressure system across the greater Tasman through the middle of next week.

/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2021/02/08/flag-the-short
thermalben
Monday, 8 February 2021

You know what? Take the next three days off. It ain’t really worth it. Especially given the incredible couple of weeks we’ve had. But.. there are waves ahead. 

/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2021/02/05/dont-stop-till
thermalben
Friday, 5 February 2021

Incredibly, we’ve got more of the same for the weekend.

/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2021/02/03/rinse-and-repeat
thermalben
Wednesday, 3 February 2021

TC Lucas will remain slow moving south of New Caledonia for a few days. Current model guidance suggests a reintensification overnight Thursday into Friday morning (see below), aimed perfectly within our swell window. 

/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2021/02/01/building-ely
thermalben
Monday, 1 February 2021

As discussed over the last week, we’ve got an active MJO phase across the region, and a strong high pressure ridge across New Zealand is cradling a conveyor belt of tropical lows, including one remnant and two existing tropical cyclones (TC Bina, TC Lucas, TC Ana - see recent chart from JTWC below).

/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2021/01/29/lotsa-east-swell
thermalben
Friday, 29 January 2021

We’ve got a warning out for a developing tropical cyclone north-east of Vanuatu, which will probably occur within the next 24 hours. This is contained with an active monsoon trough, which currently stretches from Indonesia, across Northern Australia into the western Pacific and then across to the South Pacific, somewhere south of the Cook Islands and about at SE Qld latitudes. More in the Forecaster Notes. 

/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2021/01/27/no-end-the
thermalben
Wednesday, 27 January 2021

By and large, swell prospects for the next few days look much the same as the last few. However, conditions will change across the region, ultimately switching favouritism from the north to the south. More in the Forecaster Notes.