Hmm, we’ve got an interesting troughy period next week.
Primary tabs
However, we have some new swell due south of the border on Friday. In fact the Lower Mid North Coast may see this late Thursday.
We have some small new swell on the way for the end of the week. Though, one coast will pick it up and the other will miss out.
In Wednesday’s forecast I discussed a potential NE cyclone swell.
We have a nice round of east swell on the way, generated by a sub-topical low positioned well NE of New Zealand over the weekend. And a cyclone swell too!
Looks like a weekend of fresh southerly winds, and a summery mix of S/SE and E’ly swells.
E’ly swell trains should bump up a notch during Wed and into Thurs as Tradewinds strengthen a notch around a weak trough/Easterly dip SW of New Caledonia early next week. Even though this is a downgrade from the retrograding low we saw on Wednesday’s model runs it should still supply some fun mid period E’ly swell in the 3ft range during this period.
High pressure is now drifting over New Zealand with multiple trough areas through the Tasman Sea, interior, and extending along the East Coast from the tropics down to temperate NSW. This is creating a moist, variable, onshore flow through the region with small surf.
A broad but weak tradewind fetch pushes south from the Coral Sea, extending out towards New Caledonia, and looping around a long trough extending from roughly Lord Howe up into the tropics.
The weak troughy pattern in the Tasman Sea is connected up with several, broad, diffuse and disconnected E’ly windfields in the region near New Caledonia and extending out into the South Pacific. Taken individually these fetches aren’t worth much, but as a collective we’ll be looking at another episode of pulsey background E swell with up and down periods and size in the 2-3ft range.