Victoria Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 2nd December)

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Best Days: Both coasts Saturday morning, and Sunday, Surf Coast keen surfers early Monday, beaches Tuesday morning

Recap

Tiny clean waves on the Surf Coast yesterday morning and small clean 2ft sets on the Mornington Peninsula.

Today a slight lift in swell has provided a bit more of a surfable wave on the Surf Coast, but only to 1-2ft, while the Mornington Peninsula was more around 3ft but bumpy.

This weekend (Dec 3- 4)

Satellite observations are in regarding the slow moving and stalling mid-latitude low responsible for the weekend's swell and while it's come in as forecast with gale to severe-gale W/SW winds being aimed through our western swell window, a couple of stronger storm-force (50kt) barbs have been registered.

This is positive and there's been no real change to the size of the swell forecast for the weekend.

Tomorrow morning should come in around 3-4ft on the Surf Coast and 5-6ft on the Mornington Peninsula, building through the afternoon to 5ft on the sets and 6ft+ respectively across both coasts.

A peak is due overnight, with the swell easing from 3-5ft on the Surf Coast and 6ft+ on the Mornington Peninsula Sunday morning.

Winds are looking best for the beaches on the Surf Coast and east of Melbourne, with a variable breeze tomorrow (tending E'ly) through the morning ahead of S/SE sea breezes.

Sunday should be great with a N/NE offshore tending variable ahead of mid-late afternoon sea breezes.

Next week onwards (Dec 5 onwards)

Monday morning isn't expected to see much leftover swell, with easing 2ft+ sets on the Surf Coast and 3-4ft+ waves on the Mornington Peninsula. A general W/SW breeze will create average conditions although Torquay should see an early W/NW'ly.

A small W/SW windswell is due from this change, but not to any major size or strength, easing back from 2ft on the Surf Coast Tuesday and 3-4ft on the Mornington Peninsula.

A light variable wind will create fun waves on the beaches ahead of sea breezes.

For the rest of the week there's nothing significant on the cards, so make the most of the coming weekend.