Good run of surf continues

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday March 10th)

Best Days: Tomorrow, Sunday morning, Monday, Tuesday morning, Wednesday morning, Thursday morning

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Steadying SW swell tomorrow ahead of a moderate sized S/SW swell building Sun PM, easing Mon
  • Light N/NE winds ahead of weak sea breezes tomorrow
  • Moderate W/NW tending stronger SW-S/SW winds later AM Sun
  • N/NE tending stronger E/NE winds Mon
  • Easing surf Tue with N/NW tending S/SE winds
  • Building W/SW groundswell Wed PM, holding Thu AM
  • N tending S/SE winds Wed, gusty N/NW Thu ahead of a S/SW change

Recap

Great conditions with 2ft+ of surf through yesterday, fun again this morning. We've got a stronger pulse of reinforcing swell showing this afternoon with clean conditions and 3ft sets across Clifton.

Solid surf this afternoon

This weekend and next week (Mar 11 – 17)

Today's reinforcing swell should ease a little tomorrow but not drop below 2ft, with the stalling, Southern Ocean gyre linked to the current energy due to sit across us most of the weekend.

Persistent fetches of strong W/SW winds will produce plenty of fun sized surf, while a better projection of SW winds through our southern swell window should generate another kick to 3ft Sunday afternoon, easing Monday from 2-3ft.

Conditions look good most of tomorrow with light N/NE winds and weak sea breezes, with Sunday seeing W/NW breezes ahead of a strong SW tending S/SW change late morning.

Monday should become cleaner with a variable N/NE breeze ahead of stronger E/NE sea breezes.

Tuesday should still be 1-2ft in the morning along with morning offshores.

Longer term, a deepening low dropping east-southeast through our swell window should generate a fetch of gale to severe-gale W/NW winds through our western swell window.

A fun W/SW groundswell is due from this source, arriving Wednesday afternoon and holding Thursday morning with inconsistent 2-3ft sets.

Winds look favourable and offshore Wednesday morning ahead of sea breezes, while a gusty N'ly is due Thursday ahead of a trough and change. More on this Monday though. Have a great weekend!

Comments

superfish's picture
superfish's picture
superfish Saturday, 11 Mar 2023 at 7:36am

what makes you say monday 4ft peaking midday ?

superfish's picture
superfish's picture
superfish Sunday, 12 Mar 2023 at 8:32am

did you change it or am i tripping ?

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Sunday, 12 Mar 2023 at 3:34pm

Been offline since Friday. Must have been tripping ha.