Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday February 9th)

Best Days: Saturday morning for the keen, Monday afternoon, Tuesday morning

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Small W/SW swell building Fri with early W/NW tending strengthening S/SW winds
• Easing swell Sat with variable tending S/SE winds
• Moderate sized SW groundswell building Mon with S/SE winds, easing Tue with dawn N tending S/SW winds mid-morning

Recap

Tiny surf with clean conditions, ideal for beginners.

This week and next (Feb 10 - 18)

The surf will remain tiny into tomorrow as the weakening mid-latitude low dipping south-east through our swell window clips us, bringing light W/NW winds early, shifting S/SE before strengthening from the SW later in the day.

Swell wise nothing significant is due from this system, but a trailing front looks to generate a healthy fetch of strong W/SW winds through our swell window today and tomorrow.

This should generate a small pulse of weak W/SW swell that will build Friday, peak into the evening and then ease Saturday.

Only small 2ft sets are due into the afternoon Friday and with a strong S/SW breeze, cleaner Saturday morning with a variable breeze and easing 1-2ft sets.

The surf will become tiny again into Sunday and Monday morning but there are some interesting developments into Monday/Tuesday next week.

A mid-latitude front tracking in towards Western Australia is due to drift south-east and deepen into a significant polar low south-west of us. A fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W/SW winds are due to be generated through our swell window this weekend, generating a moderate sized SW groundswell that should build rapidly Monday and ease fairly quickly Tuesday.

At this stage we're looking at 3-4ft surf with S/SE sea breezes on Monday, clean early Tuesday ahead of another trough and change mid-morning but check back here Friday for more on this.