Long lined, inconsistent E-E/SE swell will continue next week, from a source near Tonga then a closer low forming on a persistent trough line closer to the North Island. This closer system is right on the edge of the swell window.
We can expect a slow improvement in conditions again this weekend again but with a weakish, easing S/SW swell.
We'll see a building NW windswell tomorrow ahead of a large W'ly groundswell on Sunday in the gulf, more sheltered down South.
High pressure over the continent and off the QLD Coast is still supplying ridging which is now being strengthened by the next series of troughs and fronts. That will see another episode of W’ly quarter winds over the weekend, with patches of NW winds embedded in the flow.
The weekend will provide windy, inconsistent surf for the keen while some new swell for next week looks to arrive with dicey winds.
The current storm track is focussed either side of the Indian Ocean Basin, that being a strong frontal progression sliding under South Africa and Madagascar, along with a weaker, more north-south aligned progression pushing up and into Western Australia.
The surf will be tiny over the coming days ahead of some better activity next week.
Winds will strengthen tomorrow and the swell will increase again, easing and improving through the weekend.
Into next week and it looks like a much more active period ahead now, with strong frontal intrusion into the Tasman Sea and plenty of directional S swell ahead.
Yesterdays large area of low pressure consolidated nicely in the Tasman and is now slow moving as it approaches the North Island. The head of the fetch reached sub-tropical latitudes, aiding swell spread into SEQLD. Off-axis SSW-SW winds hold through today and tomorrow in the Central Tasman leading to a slow decline in S-S/SE swell for the region through this time frame.
