Eastern Tasmanian forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday February 17th)

Best Days: Tomorrow, Wednesday, Sunday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Small, easing SE swell tomorrow
• Small, inconsistent E/NE groundswell building tomorrow PM, peaking Wed AM, then easing
• W/NW tending strong S/SE winds tomorrow PM
• W/SW tending variable Wed ahead of possible weak sea breezes
• New small S swell Thu with W/SW-SW tending E then NE winds
• Fading swell Fri with N/NW tending NE winds
• Building N/NE windswell Sat with strong N/NE winds
• Peak in N/NE windswell Sun, easing rapidly with NW tending W winds

Recap

The surf was fun all weekend with easing levels of E/NE swell on Saturday morning with clean conditions, remaining decent in southern corners all day as winds strengthened out of the S’th.

Yesterday the E/NE swell was smaller but some new south swell filled in through the day as southerly winds continued to favour southern ends.

A mix of S/SE and E/NE swells have continued to provide good waves this morning ahead of sea breezes.

This week and weekend (Feb 18 - 23)

The coming week looks much smaller and trickier re surf, with our inconsistent E/NE groundswell for tomorrow afternoon and Wednesday coming in a little smaller.

This is thanks to the low linked to it, forming just north-east of New Zealand being a little less favourably aligned and further in the swell shadow.

With this we should still see inconsistent sets but don’t expect anything over 2-3ft.

The S/SE energy will fade away as well with easing 2ft+ sets due tomorrow morning as early W/NW winds shift strong S/SE into the afternoon.

Wednesday should then see W/SW offshores, tending variable ahead of possible weak sea breezes.

Swell sources will dry up from the east later week, while a weak front pushing up past us Wednesday evening should produce some small mid-period S’ly swell.

A small 2ft+ wave may be seen Thursday on the south magnets but with tricky W/SW-SW tending E and then NE winds, fading Friday as winds switch back to the NW to NE.

The weekend looks a little more productive as strengthening N/NE winds ahead of a mid-latitude low moving in from the west bring an increase in moderate sized N/NE windswell Saturday, peaking Sunday.

We could see this reaching the 4-5ft+ range early Sunday ahead of an offshore change, but more on this Wednesday.