North-east swell being over-forecast
Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 24th December)
Best Days: No good days
Recap
Nothing to surf over the weekend with tiny to flat conditions, similar today.
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This week and weekend (Nov 25 - 30)
The surf will only be tiny out of the N/NE over the coming days with weak poorly aimed fetches of N'ly winds failing to generate any decent size.
Later in the week and more so over the weekend a more established and better aligned bursts of N/NE winds will form off the southern NSW coast, but fail to really make it down to our state.
I'm concerned about this, and I feel the models are over-forecasting the expected size for our region, with the surf unlikely to top 1-2ft if that across north-east magnets.
With the fetches being further away conditions will be clean each morning but I feel the surf will underperform and be mostly tiny.
After this small to tiny swell event fades into the New Year, there's nothing significant to back it up at this stage. Check back here on Wednesday for more details and have a Merry Christmas!