More interesting is the latest model guidance suggesting we’ll see the early incarnation of a deep Tasman Low forming east of Tasmania late Thursday.
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Today's good news is that we’ve had a decent upgrade for Sunday’s south swell, back inline with what I was projecting last Monday.
This afternoon’s strengthening NE winds will reach a peak overnight, generating a solid short range NE swell that should manage early 3ft+ sets across NE facing beaches at dawn on Thursday.
Whoa! There’s some pretty serious frontal activity progged for the Tasmanian region later this week, which should set up a strong south swell for the weekend.
Looks like we’ve had an improvement in the weekend outlook, at least for the second half of it.
Easing surf is expected on Thursday ahead of a minor renewal of south swell on Friday.
Tuesday will see a low point in surf size as the current S’ly swell continues to fade in size.
Drop in S'ly swell tomorrow, kicking again late with a change, building further into Sunday with a mix of groundswell and mid-period energy. Easing surf into Monday and Tuesday, topped up with junky S'ly swell Wednesday.
Slow tomorrow, possibly kicking late, much better Friday with all day offshores and a good S'ly swell. Fading surf Saturday, with a mix of new S'y swells Sunday, clean through the morning.
Surf size will ease rapidly through Tuesday and Wednesday.