We have a broad front passing into the Tasman and a northwards moving trough, with a high pressure ridge filling in behind those short range features. The front will supply workable levels of S swell Sun but winds will be a problem with a a mod/fresh S’ly flow, tending SE’ly- E’ly during the day.
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The current S swell will ease through tomorrow with a pair of cold fronts passing into the Tasman Thurs/Fri ahead of another trough and high pressure ridge. In short, we’ll see pulses of S swell but favourable winds will be short-lived.
We’ve currently got a cold front linked to a compact parent low moving across and SE of Tasmania with high pressure tracking through the bight towards Victoria. That will bring a robust S’ly change tomorrow and some workable S swell for temperate NSW, with a trough in the sub-tropics tilting the change more S/SE-SE later tomorrow into Wed.
The weekend’s large S/SE swell is still expected to push through, but unfortunately, winds are still looking difficult for many areas.
I still really like the way this system is developing so the swell potential remains high this weekend. Unfortunately, the same can’t be said about local winds.
Friday is probably the best day of the week as we’ll see plenty of S/SE swell and lighter winds as a weak ridge of high pressure settles across the region.
Very dynamic weekend f/cast. Strong high pressure (1030hpa) moving off the Southern NSW Coast with a trough and embedded coastal low currently forming off the Far North Coast and expected to deepen into tomorrow before dissipating Sun and lingering in the Tasman early next week as a trough.
High pressure moves off the South Coast into the Tasman over the weekend with a low pressure system off the SEQLD coast directing a broad fetch of strong wind to near gale S/SE-SE winds through the Northern Tasman. This will produce large SE’ly swells for the sub-tropics with only Points rideable for most of the region.
We’ve got a really dynamic outlook this week as a strong high drifts across from the Bight and a trough drawing in tropical moisture from the Indian Ocean moves across the country and eventually enters the Tasman Sea, with a long angled trough and possible surface low expected to form in the Tasman late this week.
Doesn’t look we’ll see much swell of significance from these zonal fronts so expect small swells from the S over the weekend, only really favouring S swell magnets in NENSW.