I can’t in good conscience ignore a Cat 3 cyclone aligned really well within our swell window, aiming 50-60kt winds at such close range, and simply issue a size forecast that is also theoretically possible from a standard winter Tasman Low or an E’ly dip within a fully developed trade flow.
Primary tabs
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2018/02/16/strong-swells-entire-period-biggest
thermalben
Friday, 16 February 2018
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2018/02/14/big-bigger-biggest-inbound-swell-stc
thermalben
Wednesday, 14 February 2018
Relative to this particular swell window, STC Gita is an unprecedented weather system from a surf forecasting point of view.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2018/02/12/sustained-sizeable-cyclone-swell-ahoy
thermalben
Monday, 12 February 2018
So, enough waffle.. how big is it gonna get?
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2018/02/09/fun-small-swells-next-few-days-large
thermalben
Friday, 9 February 2018
Time to start doing some cardio, y’reckon?
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2018/02/07/fun-small-weekend-waves-long-range-ene
thermalben
Wednesday, 7 February 2018
Most of the long term synoptic activity will occur in the South Pacific as a series of tropical lows pull off the monsoon trough.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2018/02/05/plenty-swell-south-and-east
Craig
Monday, 5 February 2018
A good but inconsistent E'ly groundswell tomorrow with a building S'ly groundswell, peaking Wednesday morning. Good winds each morning, deteriorating through the day. Fun peaky E'ly swell building later Saturday and peaking Sunday with a window of favourable winds.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2018/02/02/plenty-surf-ahead-great-conditions-early
thermalben
Friday, 2 February 2018
We’ve got one last gasp of swell from ex-TC Fehi.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2018/01/31/plenty-strong-swell-ahead-great-outlook
thermalben
Wednesday, 31 January 2018
We’re looking at an early peak in S’ly swell and then a later peak in E’ly swell from the remnants of TC Fehi, probably around the middle of the day.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2018/01/29/strong-swell-combo-east-and-south
thermalben
Monday, 29 January 2018
So, here we are - looking down the barrel of a complex synoptic situation within a wide spectrum of our swell window.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2018/01/26/small-ne-swells-persist-next-few-days
thermalben
Friday, 26 January 2018
This is expected to rapidly strengthen a broad E’ly fetch in our prime swell window, and will generate a solid E’ly swell that’s expected to push through for Wednesday, ahead of a peak in size on Thursday.
