The United States(!) of A

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factotum started the topic in Thursday, 27 Aug 2020 at 11:12am

Septic Tanks are going to Septic Tank

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indo-dreaming Wednesday, 9 Oct 2024 at 6:19pm
flollo wrote:

@indo the most important poll is the one conducted in Pennsylvania. Whoever wins there wins the election.

It’s even and unpredictable on 538.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/pennsy...

Yeah I read that, cause of it holding so many college electoral votes yeah, its like the Ace of the swing states.

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Juliang Thursday, 10 Oct 2024 at 2:32am

The Cure A Forest Birmingham 1987
My device isn’t working on Tunes

?si=P5lwao8ALNjg_01I

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Roadkill Thursday, 10 Oct 2024 at 6:15am
Jelly Flater wrote:

;)

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=cnrFZ-EpF_Y

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=JfDxWcTg_W0

Someone retrieved the note..it was a simply but lovely statement from Trump.

I AM THE GREATEST JEW EVER, THERE HAS NEVER BEEN A MORE JEWISH JEW THAN ME.

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Juliang Thursday, 10 Oct 2024 at 1:14pm

?si=G9KH4FfQH93mYRTH

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Jelly Flater Thursday, 10 Oct 2024 at 1:35pm

;)

https://m.

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&pp=ygUJdG9vbCBzd2lt

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Jelly Flater Thursday, 10 Oct 2024 at 4:28pm

…still $tocking up ammo ;)
- & running out of lie$

https://m.

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&pp=ygUMQnVyaWFsIGdvb2Rz

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truebluebasher Thursday, 10 Oct 2024 at 10:01pm

US Demographic % that Fully Support + Support US Aid to Israel
18+ =16% / 30+ =26% / 50+ = 43% / 65+ = 57%
https://www.reddit.com/media?url=https%3A%2F%2Fexternal-preview.redd.it%...

That explains War Monger Prez mad rush funnelling $43.31bn WMD in final year before election.

Israel Dictator bills Commander in Chief $5.93 billion for a 30 min phone call
Same dictator kills 128 journos/year & tells the World to Fuck Off...everyday for free!
[Expert Factchecker] : "We'll Advise the President to check out the Dodo Package!"

Here's all Trump need do to romp in an election Victory...
Restore US Aid to Last Election levels...
By reallocating End of World Xmas Fund to struggling US Young Families if only for 12 month relief
$500/Vote would rapidly U Turn the massive 74-84% Anti Israel War Youth Vote...No brainer!
While locking in Ye Olde Prez Trump Kill Kill Kill base rate to satisfy his incoherent Guntotallerz

Just saying wot ever Power Israel has over US has just cost Trump the easiest of election victories!

C'mon people...

Biden's End of the World Plan blowing up in his face + Costs the Earth for One Bestie Phone Call.

Shadowy Commander in Chief Trump taking the bullets for brain dead GI Joe...

Vote to stick an ice cream stick up the Genocidal Maniac's ATM [ Insufficient Funds ] Game Over!
Wotz a Mass Killer do ...Threaten to Kill another Million innocents...same threat every day either way!
Trump's Peacenik Youth...salute the great Orange One...Lover boy pulls a date with the First Lady!

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Jelly Flater Thursday, 10 Oct 2024 at 10:23pm

https://m.

https://m.

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burleigh Thursday, 10 Oct 2024 at 11:32pm
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Juliang Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 2:00am

A preview of project 2025 . Trump will tell the Department of Justice and the FBI who to prosecute and investigate.
Trump urging voter intimidation.

?si=ToFauih-KktkNECq

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Juliang Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 2:04am

Chris Isaak is American

?si=PIevbNgJrAR21xE4

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Juliang Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 2:39am

Why many long term Republicans have
enough intelligence to endorse
Kamala Harris .

?si=p0AEHaRMExEM0Vyd

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Pop Down Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 6:20am

Hey Jules

We all know why Dick Chaney jumped on Harris .

Do you ?

The guy above looks a Dick 2 .

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indo-dreaming Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 8:14am
indo-dreaming wrote:
flollo wrote:

@indo the most important poll is the one conducted in Pennsylvania. Whoever wins there wins the election.

It’s even and unpredictable on 538.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/pennsy...

Yeah I read that, cause of it holding so many college electoral votes yeah, its like the Ace of the swing states.

It's interesting that last election polls were showing Biden up 7 points in Pennsylvania but while he won it, he only won it by 1.17% (80,00 votes) (Trump even less in 2016 only 40,000 votes)

The same pattern was seen in the last two elections, polls showed Biden or Hillary at much higher rates than they actually won by.

Its going to be interesting to see if this trend continues, as polls are showing things this time to be much closer.

If this trend of polls favouring the opposition to Trump continue compared to the actual outcome, then Trump should have a real chance.

Either way it goes its going to be fun to watch play out.

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Jelly Flater Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 8:25am

https://m.

&pp=ygUMQnVyaWFsIGdvb2Rz

https://m.

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Pop Down Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 8:34am

Not exactly sure why , but Trump and Polls don't mix .

Joe Rogan said Polls in the US are Crap .

He was told by a guest that Reagan jumped 12 points when shot but Trumps numbers hardly moved .

Polls here are Crap , I don't believe them , he said .

Comparing Trumps Polling numbers over 3 Elections does give valuable information .

Trump was 6-7% behind Clinton and Biden in the Keystone State of Pensilvania at this stage .

His numbers are almost equal with Kamala now .

His momentum is building .

Indo , he has more than a Real Chance .

The Stakes are too high for me to enjoy this fight .

Bon Chance America .

As Musk said , this might be the Last US Presidential Election if Trump looses .

As he said to Tucker , Musk will be Stuffed and extinct if he looses .

As the owner of the Biggest Free Speech Platform in the World , he will be Mr Misinformation .

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Jelly Flater Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 8:37am

^ hot piss momentum is building ;)

https://m.

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&pp=ygUZZ2lybHMganVzdCB3YW5uYSBoYXZlIGZ1bg%3D%3D

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Jelly Flater Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 8:43am

… space cake recipes

;);)

https://m.

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Juliang Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 8:52am

This video is about MAGA getting rid of
The North American weather bureau
N O A A . who supply the hurricane warnings and information to the public,
And forbidding the mention of climate change
And Trumps blatant lies about lack of hurricane funding,
Is dangerous and fooling his own followers

?si=yfRy9sWqO2Mnvrch

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Jelly Flater Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 9:14am

https://m.

&pp=ygUMamFiYXJpIGpvbmVz

https://m.

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Jelly Flater Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 9:19am

;)

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etarip Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 11:32am

MAGA simps love polls when they show Trump is up, but hate them when they show the opposite.

For those that can’t spell ‘lose’, but also lack the ability to Google a colloquialism that they don’t recognise:

https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/simp

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truebluebasher Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 11:52am

Pommywood US Election knight hoods have been dished out & left to rot on the shelf.

https://www.channel4.com/press/news/channel-4-announces-groundbreaking-i...

Trump's Trans Apprentice Pole Vaulting Candidate
Democrat's pornstar GOP hustler (4x US Presidential Electoral Extortionist) "It's not about my infamy!"
Complete with her lap dog Hush Money Bag Handler...stop growling boy!
Clinton's most Stupidest Economist
That's my kinda hung out to dry Party Guy
Boston Bomber Refugee Relocator

Trump was elected as Curator of The Dumbest TV Deal Ever

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Jelly Flater Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 11:55am

;)

https://m.

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burleigh Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 2:20pm
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Jelly Flater Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 4:13pm

….. ;)

https://m.

&pp=ygUMamFiYXJpIGpvbmVz

Juliang's picture
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Juliang Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 4:17pm

Willie Nelson endorses Kamala Harris ,
Not a redneck at all .

https://youtube.com/shorts/IJAhyzBWAQo?si=hEBbY6n8TXiMh2gG

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Jelly Flater Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 4:46pm

& morgan freeman is a freeman ;)

… anyone endorsing anyone = aspiring circus conductor

https://m.

&pp=ygUMamFiYXJpIGpvbmVz

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Jelly Flater Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 4:47pm

;);)

https://m.

https://m.

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truebluebasher Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 4:57pm

[Sound Minded Voter feels overburdened with Kamala's beastly cover version]

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Jelly Flater Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 5:45pm

https://m.

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indo-dreaming Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 5:58pm
Pop Down wrote:

Not exactly sure why , but Trump and Polls don't mix .

Joe Rogan said Polls in the US are Crap .

He was told by a guest that Reagan jumped 12 points when shot but Trumps numbers hardly moved .

Polls here are Crap , I don't believe them , he said .

Comparing Trumps Polling numbers over 3 Elections does give valuable information .

Trump was 6-7% behind Clinton and Biden in the Keystone State of Pensilvania at this stage .

His numbers are almost equal with Kamala now .

His momentum is building .

Indo , he has more than a Real Chance .

The Stakes are too high for me to enjoy this fight .

Bon Chance America .

As Musk said , this might be the Last US Presidential Election if Trump looses .

As he said to Tucker , Musk will be Stuffed and extinct if he looses .

As the owner of the Biggest Free Speech Platform in the World , he will be Mr Misinformation .

I like Musk but i thought that was a silly thing to say, like when the Trump haters say Trump is a threat to democracy.

It's just language and rhetoric being used by both sides as a way to motivate voters to get out there and vote, but it is BS, no matter who wins or loses, democracy will be fine and there will be many more USA elections.

I hope Trump wins, but its not going to be the end of the world if Harris gets in.

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Juliang Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 5:59pm

Trump trashes Detroits reputation
in a speech in Detroit

?si=oon7PXy-PB0iDWfG

indo-dreaming's picture
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indo-dreaming Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 6:34pm

Doesn't it have a reputation as being the city that globalisation pretty much destroyed? (jobs going offshore)

Ive watched videos where it's just blocks upon blocks of houses and vacant land that nobody wants, going very cheap.

Pop Down's picture
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Pop Down Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 6:36pm

Hello Indo

Musk will be a target if Trump doesn't win .

He says his Space Program had a contract pulled recently that he believed was Political .

France just jailed a Russian Musky Misinformation type .

Hilary wants to stop Misinformation .

Musk owns , amongst businesses he built , a Misinformation Business .

He would Hear things that very Few would hear , on his network .

Hey Juliang

The Windy City of Detroit has a Terrible Reputation .

People are leaving it in droves .

Did Trump Trash that view ?

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indo-dreaming Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 6:36pm

Yeah okay, i can see that, she and others would love to try to bring him down .

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flollo Friday, 11 Oct 2024 at 7:33pm
indo-dreaming wrote:

Doesn't it have a reputation as being the city that globalisation pretty much destroyed? (jobs going offshore)

Ive watched videos where it's just blocks upon blocks of houses and vacant land that nobody wants, going very cheap.

This is actually clever. People from Detroit will never vote for him. The goal is to persuade the rest of the state and other Rust belt voters to vote for him. Reminding them that Detroit is a shithole, ruined by Democrats is a good strategy.

Edit: here’s a house for $7k. Built in the 1920s, 2 years on the market. There are dozens like this for sale, took me like 2 mins to find this one. $100k buys you a mansion.

https://www.realtor.com/realestateandhomes-detail/3769-Glynn-Ct_Detroit_...

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Juliang Saturday, 12 Oct 2024 at 8:41am

?si=wyV322Pmp-VenVH4

Green Day disses Trump American Idiot lyrics

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quadzilla Saturday, 12 Oct 2024 at 8:49am

dear oh dear oh dear...its cackle head LIVE with the teleprompter feeding her the answers to the questions....JUST LIKE ALL THE OTHER PUBLIC APPEARANCES she is involved in.

Joe offered her his basement to hide in from when he won the last election but cackle head likes to watch herself on TV(the PornHub video is great she says!)

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Juliang Saturday, 12 Oct 2024 at 8:52am

?si=wndz7yfgtRnvLxGI

Bruce Springsteen gives his opinion,

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Juliang Saturday, 12 Oct 2024 at 9:07am

At least Trump still has
Hulk Hogan and Hannibel Lecter .

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Roadkill Saturday, 12 Oct 2024 at 9:15am
quadzilla wrote:

dear oh dear oh dear...its cackle head LIVE with the teleprompter feeding her the answers to the questions....JUST LIKE ALL THE OTHER PUBLIC APPEARANCES she is involved in.

Joe offered her his basement to hide in from when he won the last election but cackle head likes to watch herself on TV(the PornHub video is great she says!)https://youtu.be/nmKvqjoBXZg

“A scandal of biblical proportions.”

Dramatic stuff.

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Pop Down Saturday, 12 Oct 2024 at 9:40am

The guy who did the interview said The Teleprompter had his Intro , in Spanish and I believe him .

Must have been the reason why , Off the Cuff , Kamala had a Spanish accent , during the Town Hall .

Looks like Trump will get his Chat with Joe .

Musk has said Rogan WILL interview Trump before the Election .

In the last 2 weeks of the Campaign , Trumps wants to Close The Deal .

Rogan will offer Kamala the chance to chat as he has always said he doesn't want 2 help Trump .

Why is Barack so Grumpy ?

He really thinks he is a bloody comedian with crappy nappy jokes !

Interesting way of generating enthusiasm , bag the Men for not wanting a female President .

Maybe he was " Born 2 Run " ?

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Juliang Saturday, 12 Oct 2024 at 9:55am

At least Kamala knows what a teleprompter is
“Child care is child care “

?si=vMI7uEJ8korWGBg6

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indo-dreaming Saturday, 12 Oct 2024 at 10:12am

Odd's are really blowing out, last time Trump was in this position odd's wise was back at the end of July

Trump 53.9
Harris 44.7

https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

Yeah i get that Philadelphia is the state that either have to win unless a lot of cards fall differently than expected, but i think these odds are changing because almost all these swing states seems to be moving towards Trump including Philadelphia.

But that said, in all honestly it's hard to know what to believe, you can find polls and media favouring either position. (hence why i think odds are almost a better gauge in a weird way)

One thing for certain, right now there does seem to be a momentum swing Trumps way.

Its almost like watching an AFL game, where it's neck and neck and the winner is decided by what team has momentum at the end of the 4th quarter.

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Juliang Saturday, 12 Oct 2024 at 10:22am

Trump is showing signs of mental decline,
but the average MAGA commentor wouldn’t
notice.

?si=Ho5DyXUUo9OQklJb

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Juliang Saturday, 12 Oct 2024 at 10:24am

Don’t be a part of the deficit

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Jelly Flater Saturday, 12 Oct 2024 at 10:33am

;)

https://m.

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&pp=ygUSamFiYXJpIGpvbmVzIHB1dGlu

etarip's picture
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etarip Saturday, 12 Oct 2024 at 11:04am
indo-dreaming wrote:

Odd's are really blowing out, last time Trump was in this position odd's wise was back at the end of July

Trump 53.9
Harris 44.7

https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

Yeah i get that Philadelphia is the state that either have to win unless a lot of cards fall differently than expected, but i think these odds are changing because almost all these swing states seems to be moving towards Trump including Philadelphia.

But that said, in all honestly it's hard to know what to believe, you can find polls and media favouring either position. (hence why i think odds are almost a better gauge in a weird way)

One thing for certain, right now there does seem to be a momentum swing Trumps way.

Its almost like watching an AFL game, where it's neck and neck and the winner is decided by what team has momentum at the end of the 4th quarter.

But betting odds are all over the shop as well, and vary depending on specific methodologies:

“Betting odds change depending on the methodologies used by each site. In contrast to polling, which uses quantitative data from representative samples, bookmakers are free to add additional factors into the odds they offer.

For betting sites like Betfair, which currently gives Harris a 48 percent chance of winning the election (with Trump on 47), betters are gambling against each other rather than bookmakers' odds, meaning the odds are dictated by public interaction and people's beliefs or predictions.

Other sites, like Polymarket, which currently gives Trump a two-point lead over Harris, use a "blockchain-based prediction market" to allow users to buy the equivalent of shares in a certain outcome, increasing the odds of that outcome happening according to "collective wisdom."