Peak period vs Significant Wave hieght
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What location are you looking at?
Sig wave height will always be relatively low (compared to Australia) as the swells have travelled a lot further from their source, and have thus suffered wave decay (so, sig height isn't necessarily a reflection of surf height). But if the swell has a lengthy period, it'll boost wave heights across the surf zone.
Our in-house surf model (not the wave model) does a pretty good job at estimating surf size using significant wave height and period (and direction); feedback fom a large number of users over the last few years has shown that our model performs much better than any other website. So you can feel reasonably confident that the automated surf height estimates are usually pretty close (for exposed spots, obviously).
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Sure, significant wave heights are likely quite accurate, but that's only relative to a wave buoy recording it (of which there are none across the region that are publicly available).
So, deep water swells might be 1.5m (sig wave height). But with an 18 second period, this one and half metre ocean swell would jump up to four metres or more on the wave face once it arrives across the surf zone.
But conversely, a larger signifciant wave height would result in a smaller surf size, if the swell period is much smaller.
Hence, why significant wave height doesn't necessarily relate to surf height.
As for Bali, later next week looks like it'll see a strong groundswell (forerunners due Thursday, peak surf size due Friday).
https://www.swellnet.com/reports/indonesia/bali/uluwatu/forecast
Gday Ben,
A mate and myself are going to indo, we are arriving the 1st of Sept. We have just been looking at the WAMS for this area and are wondering what Swells to expect as the Significant Wave Height seems small in comparison to a very high Peak Period.
Cheers