Victoria Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 4th June)

Best Days: Exposed beaches Wednesday, Surf Coast Saturday and Sunday

Recap

Great waves Saturday with clean small surf to start the day, while a new long-period W/SW groundswell built slowly through the day as winds remained variable creating great surf into the afternoon west of Melbourne, with sizey cleanups to the east.

The swell unfortunately dropped right back overnight a little quicker than anticipated, best on the exposed beaches across the state.

Saturday afternoon..

This morning the surf is small again but nice and clean with 2ft leftovers on the Surf Coast and 3-4ft sets to the east.

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This week and weekend (Jun 5 - 10)

An onshore change due this afternoon will be linked to a trough moving up from the south and with this we'll see onshore S/SE winds lingering into tomorrow, spoiling a new inconsistent W/SW groundswell.

This groundswell wasn't great, but should provide infrequent 2-3ft waves on the Surf Coast for the most part, with the odd bigger one possible at magnets, and 4-6ft sets to the east.

Wednesday is the day to surf with winds expected to swing offshore for the beaches and out of the N/NE as the W/SW groundswell eases from 2ft+ on the Surf Coast and 4ft to the east.

As talked about last week, a large blocking high will bring strengthening N'ly winds and no new swell into the end of the week, with clean fading 1-2ft sets on the beaches east of Melbourne, near flat to the west.

A tiny hint of new W'ly swell may be seen Friday but with NW winds, the Surf Coast will be clean but only small to tiny.

Of greater importance is a mid-latitude front pushing in from under WA, towards us later week.

It will initially stall while generating a right fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W'ly winds in our western swell window, and then push east towards us, generating a better W/SW groundswell for Saturday that looks to come in around the 4ft range on the Surf Coast and 6ft+ to the east.

Winds look great and offshore from the NW at this stage, with clean conditions persisting on the Surf Coast Sunday as the swell drops.

Longer term we've got more fun swells due into early next week, but more on this Wednesday.