Small swells with workable winds

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday November 1)

Best Days: Tomorrow morning beginners, early Friday, Sunday morning, Monday morning, Tuesday morning, Wednesday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Fading surf tomorrow with W/NW tending strong S/SE winds
  • Fun pulse of mid-period SW swell tomorrow PM, easing Fri with early W/NW winds, shifting strong S/SW mid-late AM
  • Small levels of background swell Sat through Mon
  • W/SW tending S/SW winds Sat, variable tending S/SE Sun
  • N/NE tending strong E/NE winds Mon and Tue
  • Small pulse of inconsistent SW swell Wed with variable winds

Recap

A tiny start to yesterday but into the afternoon a good pulse of swell was seen into the afternoon though it looks to have come under the expected 3-4ft and more to 2-3ft.

This morning the swell was cleaner and still 2ft+.

Fun surf on high this morning

This week and next (Nov 2- 10)

The current swell will continue to ease into tomorrow morning and conditions should be nice with a light W/NW breeze ahead of strong S/SE sea breezes just as some new swell starts to show.

The source was a good fetch of trailing W/NW winds behind the low linked to yesterday's and today's swell with a fun pulse to 2ft+ due tomorrow afternoon, easing back from 2ft on Friday morning.

Winds Friday morning look W/NW early again but a trough will bring a strong S/SW change mid-late morning so surf before then.

As touched on in Monday's update, this trough may linger bringing W/SW-S/SW winds on Saturday along with smaller leftover surf to 1-2ft, cleaner Sunday morning with variable winds ahead of sea breezes and persistent 1-2ft sets.

The small background levels of 1-2ft surf (which will continue into Monday) is thanks to weak, persistent polar frontal activity moving in from the west.

A slightly stronger system may bring a little bump to 2ft on Wednesday but we'll review this on Friday.

Local winds look N/NE ahead of stronger E/NE sea breezes next Monday/Tuesday, more variable Wednesday. We'll confirm this Friday.