Fun surf tomorrow, poor until late next week

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday September 29th)

Best Days: Tomorrow, early Sunday beginners

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Easing SW swell tomorrow with N/NE tending strong N/NW winds
  • Tiny Sun with NW tending strong W/SW winds mid-AM
  • Tiny Mon with strengthening N/NE winds
  • Large SW groundswell building next Fri with strong S/SW winds

Recap

A fun lift in swell yesterday with clean conditions, holding today but with less favourable winds and a building swell into this afternoon. Strong onshore winds are blowing now but sets are 3ft.

This weekend and next (Sep 30 – Oct 6)

The frontal system bringing this afternoon's winds and swell will clear to the east tomorrow and with it the swell will ease back and clean up. Winds will vary ahead of an approaching cold front with a morning N/NE breeze due to shift NW and freshen. The swell is due to ease back from the 2ft+ range with tiny waves Sunday morning.

An early NW wind will give into a strong W/SW change mid-morning Sunday so tomorrow is the pick of the weekend.

No swell is due from Sunday's change with Monday remaining tiny but with N/NE winds.

Tiny surf is expected to continue through the rest of the week ahead of a large spike of new SW groundswell Friday.

This will be generated by a significant polar low firing up to the south of Western Australia early next week, with a fetch of severe-gale to storm-force winds due to be generated in our medium-range swell window, before the system weakens and pushes up and across us late week.

A large groundswell is expected mixed with some local windswell but winds look terrible and strong S/SW as it peaks. More on this Monday. Have a great weekend!